Ayr vs Stenhousemuir

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Stenhousemuir favourites at 63% (Ayr 15%, draw 22%). That rests on expected goals of 1.63 to 0.61 and 7 wins in Stenhousemuir's last 10 matches to 4 for Ayr. Ayr lead the head-to-head 8-0, which keeps it from being more one-sided. It put over 2.5 goals at 40% and both teams scoring at 35%. Stenhousemuir won 1-0, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• They last met on 23 Jul 2024, when Ayr won 4-1.