Mongolia W vs China W

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 81%. China beat Indonesia 110-41 and Thailand 111-46 in their two Asian Games outings. Mongolia lost 61-88 to South Korea and 67-76 to Chinese Taipei before beating Malaysia by eight. The current level-of-opposition and scoring gaps favor China. Main risk: Mongolia has only three recent games in the feed, China lost several earlier September games against stronger international opponents, and current roster availability is unverified.