Forejtek J. vs Chazal M.

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 71%. Chazal took a set in nine of his last ten completed matches, with the lone failure on hard court; his clay results include wins over Schwaerzler and De Schepper and a three-set loss to Barrena. Main risk: Forejtek took a set in eight of nine completed recent clay matches and the winner model is 50-50. Much of Chazal's winning run was at lower levels; the incomplete old H2H is excluded.