Grasshoppers (Sui) vs Aarau (Sui)

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 69%. Aarau's latest eight completed games all had at least three goals, including 2-2 against Kriens and 3-2 against Rapperswil-Jona. Grasshoppers conceded five against both Luzern and Sion and drew 2-2 with Zurich; seven of their last ten games cleared this line. The 78% totals model is discounted for friendly uncertainty. Main risk: Grasshoppers also recorded 1-0 and 2-0 wins recently, one May H2H finished 0-0, and neither starting lineup is confirmed.