York City vs Port Vale

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made York City favourites at 53% (Port Vale 23%, draw 24%). That rests on expected goals of 1.46 to 0.84. Port Vale come in with the better recent form (4 wins from 10 to 2), which keeps it from being more one-sided. It put over 2.5 goals at 38% and both teams scoring at 46%. York City won 2-0, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• York City are unbeaten in 5 matches.
• Port Vale are unbeaten in 5 matches.
• They last met on 16 Mar 2013, when Port Vale won 2-0.