Wrexham vs Burnley

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Wrexham favourites at 65% (Burnley 15%, draw 20%). That rests on expected goals of 1.84 to 0.72 and 3 wins in Wrexham's last 10 matches to 0 for Burnley. It put over 2.5 goals at 47% and both teams scoring at 49%. It ended 1-1, a draw the model had put at 20%.

Key facts before the match

• Burnley have gone 10 matches without a win.
• They last met on 11 Mar 2000, when Burnley won 1-0.