Sheffield Utd vs Wrexham

Match preview

The model makes Sheffield Utd favourites at 50% (Wrexham 28%, draw 22%). That rests on expected goals of 1.67 to 1.17 and Sheffield Utd sitting 12th in the table to Wrexham's 17th. Bookmakers give Sheffield Utd about 36% once their margin is removed, so the model is more confident than the market. It puts over 2.5 goals at 65% and both teams scoring at 66%.

Key facts

• Wrexham failed to score in 3 of their last 5 away games.
• They last met on 21 Mar 2026, when Wrexham won 2-1.
• 6 of the last 6 meetings had three or more goals.