Wrexham vs Birmingham

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Birmingham favourites at 51% (Wrexham 25%, draw 24%). That rests on expected goals of 1.48 to 0.93, 5 wins in Birmingham's last 10 matches to 2 for Wrexham and 3 wins from the last 5 meetings to 0. It put over 2.5 goals at 45% and both teams scoring at 57%. Birmingham won 2-1, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• Wrexham have gone 5 matches without a win.
• They last met on 12 Apr 2026, when Birmingham won 2-0.