Wolves vs Watford

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Wolves favourites at 73% (Watford 11%, draw 16%). That rests on expected goals of 2.16 to 0.65, 4 wins in Wolves's last 10 matches to 2 for Watford and 5 wins from the last 10 meetings to 3. It put over 2.5 goals at 55% and both teams scoring at 48%. Wolves won 1-0, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• They last met on 10 Mar 2022, when Wolves won 4-0.