Football · Bundesliga · Austria
Wolfsberger AC vs Sturm Graz
Sunday, 01 November 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Match preview
The model makes Sturm Graz favourites at 76% (Wolfsberger AC 10%, draw 14%). That rests on expected goals of 2.41 to 0.69, Sturm Graz sitting 4th in the table to Wolfsberger AC's 12th and 6 wins in Sturm Graz's last 10 matches to 1 for Wolfsberger AC. Bookmakers give Sturm Graz about 60% once their margin is removed, so the model is more confident than the market. It puts over 2.5 goals at 64% and both teams scoring at 52%.
Key facts
- Over 2.5 goals came in 7 of Wolfsberger AC's last 10 matches and 7 of Sturm Graz's.
- They last met on 1 Mar 2026, when it finished 2-2.
- Sturm Graz concede 2 goals a game away from home.
Austria•Bundesliga
vs
Sunday, 01 November 2026 at 16:30
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.H2H: 3-4-3
Last 10 matches
1010
8/2119/13
0.801.90
2.101.30
6/107/10
2/105/10
9/107/10
7/103/10
1/103/10
4/103/10
9/108/10
7/107/10
6/105/10
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Wolfsberger ac at homeSturm Graz away
55
1/52/5
1/50/5
3/53/5
0.801.40
2.002.00
3/53/5
1/52/5
0/51/5
5/54/5
3/53/5
0/51/5
2/52/5
3/54/5
3/52/5
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Wolfsberger ac: 0.69
Expected Goals
Sturm Graz: 2.41
Wolfsberger ac
10%
Draw
14%
Sturm Graz
76%
Over 2.5: 64%
BTTS: 52%
Quality: high
Market Odds (1X2)
Vig 8.2%
1 — Wolfsberger AC
4.90▲
Implied 19%
Edge -8.9%
X
4.30
Implied 21%
Edge -7.5%
2 — Sturm Graz
1.55▼
Implied 60%
Edge +16.4%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model rates that outcome higher than the bookmaker.
Team 1 Form
Wolfsberger ac · # = league position now
18 Oct2026
Wolfsberger ac#12 vs Tirol#6
0-2L
11 Oct2026
Altach#8 vs Wolfsberger ac#12
3-0L
02 Oct2026
Wolfsberger ac#12 vs Ask Voitsberg#10
2-1W
20 Sept2026
Ried#5 vs Wolfsberger ac#12
4-1L
12 Sept2026
Wolfsberger ac#12 vs sk Rapid#1
0-3L
06 Sept2026
Parndorf vs Wolfsberger ac#12
2-2D
01 Sept2026
Wolfsberger ac#12 vs Lask#3
1-3L
29 Aug2026
Grazer ak#9 vs Wolfsberger ac#12
0-0D
15 Aug2026
a. Lustenau#10 vs Wolfsberger ac#12
2-1L
09 Aug2026
Wolfsberger ac#12 vs Salzburg#2
1-1D
Team 2 Form
Sturm Graz · # = league position now
22 Oct2026
Sturm Graz#4 vs Marseille#10
1-0W
18 Oct2026
Sturm Graz#4 vs Grazer ak#9
6-1W
15 Oct2026
Bournemouth#15 vs Sturm Graz#4
3-0L
10 Oct2026
Austria Vienna#11 vs Sturm Graz#4
0-2W
02 Oct2026
Sturm Graz#4 vs Floridsdorfer ac#8
3-1W
20 Sept2026
Salzburg#2 vs Sturm Graz#4
3-0L
16 Sept2026
Sturm Graz#4 vs Rennes#6
0-0D
13 Sept2026
Sturm Graz#4 vs Lask#3
2-1W
05 Sept2026
Ask Voitsberg#10 vs Sturm Graz#4
1-4W
30 Aug2026
sk Rapid#1 vs Sturm Graz#4
3-1L
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
01 Mar2026
Wolfsberger ac#12 vs Sturm Graz#4
2-2•
26 Oct2025
Sturm Graz#4 vs Wolfsberger ac#12
1-3•
24 May2025
Sturm Graz#4 vs Wolfsberger ac#12
1-1•
30 Mar2025
Wolfsberger ac#12 vs Sturm Graz#4
1-1•
15 Feb2025
Wolfsberger ac#12 vs Sturm Graz#4
3-0•
22 Sept2024
Sturm Graz#4 vs Wolfsberger ac#12
0-3•
03 Mar2024
Sturm Graz#4 vs Wolfsberger ac#12
4-0•
08 Oct2023
Wolfsberger ac#12 vs Sturm Graz#4
1-2•
16 Oct2022
Sturm Graz#4 vs Wolfsberger ac#12
3-2•
23 Jul2022
Wolfsberger ac#12 vs Sturm Graz#4
1-1•
Upcoming matches
# = league position now
Wolfsberger ac
Prediction alerts
Know when the next pick goes live.
Email requires confirmation. Telegram requires pressing Start. Unsubscribe any time.
Explore more matches and live updates on the Football board.