Football · Bundesliga · Austria
Sturm Graz vs Ried
Sunday, 25 October 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Match preview
The model makes Sturm Graz favourites at 56% (Ried 26%, draw 18%). That rests on expected goals of 2.27 to 1.49 and 7 wins from the last 10 meetings to 1. Bookmakers give Sturm Graz about 56% once their margin is removed, close to the model's view. It puts over 2.5 goals at 72% and both teams scoring at 71%.
Key facts
- Ried are unbeaten in 6 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals came in 7 of Sturm Graz's last 10 matches and 8 of Ried's.
- Ried scored in every one of their last 10 matches.
- Sturm Graz are 4th in Bundesliga on 17 points from 9 games; Ried are 5th on 14.
- They last met on 8 Feb 2026, when Sturm Graz won 1-0.
Austria•Bundesliga
vs
Sunday, 25 October 2026 at 16:30
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.H2H: 7-2-1
Last 10 matches
1010
19/1323/18
1.902.30
1.301.80
7/1010/10
5/106/10
7/109/10
3/105/10
3/101/10
3/100/10
8/109/10
7/108/10
5/109/10
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Sturm Graz at homeRied away
54
4/52/4
1/50/4
0/52/4
2.402.50
0.602.25
4/54/4
3/53/4
2/51/4
3/54/4
0/52/4
2/50/4
1/50/4
3/54/4
3/54/4
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Sturm Graz: 2.27
Expected Goals
Ried: 1.49
Sturm Graz
56%
Draw
18%
Ried
26%
Over 2.5: 72%
BTTS: 71%
Quality: high
Market Odds (1X2)
Vig 6.4%
1 — Sturm Graz
1.67▼
Implied 56%
Edge -0.3%
X
4.20▲
Implied 22%
Edge -4.4%
2 — Ried
4.40▲
Implied 21%
Edge +4.6%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model rates that outcome higher than the bookmaker.
Team 1 Form
Sturm Graz · # = league position now
22 Oct2026
Sturm Graz#4 vs Marseille#10
1-0W
18 Oct2026
Sturm Graz#4 vs Grazer ak#9
6-1W
15 Oct2026
Bournemouth#15 vs Sturm Graz#4
3-0L
10 Oct2026
Austria Vienna#11 vs Sturm Graz#4
0-2W
02 Oct2026
Sturm Graz#4 vs Floridsdorfer ac#8
3-1W
20 Sept2026
Salzburg#2 vs Sturm Graz#4
3-0L
16 Sept2026
Sturm Graz#4 vs Rennes#6
0-0D
13 Sept2026
Sturm Graz#4 vs Lask#3
2-1W
05 Sept2026
Ask Voitsberg#10 vs Sturm Graz#4
1-4W
30 Aug2026
sk Rapid#1 vs Sturm Graz#4
3-1L
Team 2 Form
Ried · # = league position now
17 Oct2026
Ried#5 vs Austria Vienna#11
3-2W
10 Oct2026
Tirol#6 vs Ried#5
1-2W
02 Oct2026
Ried#5 vs Amstetten#4
3-3D
20 Sept2026
Ried#5 vs Wolfsberger ac#12
4-1W
11 Sept2026
Ried#5 vs Salzburg#2
1-1D
04 Sept2026
Wallern/st Marienkirchen vs Ried#5
1-5W
30 Aug2026
Hartberg#7 vs Ried#5
3-2L
21 Aug2026
Ried#5 vs Grazer ak#9
1-0W
14 Aug2026
Lask#3 vs Ried#5
4-1L
09 Aug2026
Ried#5 vs sk Rapid#1
1-2L
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
08 Feb2026
Sturm Graz#4 vs Ried#5
1-0•
16 Aug2025
Ried#5 vs Sturm Graz#4
1-3•
28 Aug2024
Ried#5 vs Sturm Graz#4
1-3•
30 Oct2022
Sturm Graz#4 vs Ried#5
2-1•
06 Aug2022
Ried#5 vs Sturm Graz#4
1-1•
06 Mar2022
Ried#5 vs Sturm Graz#4
2-2•
27 Oct2021
Sturm Graz#4 vs Ried#5
1-2•
17 Oct2021
Sturm Graz#4 vs Ried#5
1-0•
09 Feb2021
Sturm Graz#4 vs Ried#5
2-1•
24 Oct2020
Ried#5 vs Sturm Graz#4
0-2•
Upcoming matches
# = league position now
Sturm Graz
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