Wigan vs Bromley

Match preview

The model makes Wigan favourites at 52% (Bromley 26%, draw 22%). That rests on expected goals of 1.68 to 1.09 and 3 wins in Wigan's last 10 matches to 1 for Bromley. Bookmakers give Wigan about 50% once their margin is removed, close to the model's view. It puts over 2.5 goals at 53% and both teams scoring at 48%.

Key facts

• Bromley have gone 6 matches without a win.
• Bromley failed to score in 2 of their last 4 away games.
• Wigan are 22nd in League One on 8 points from 11 games; Bromley are 24th on 8.
• Bromley concede 2.25 goals a game away from home.