Leicester vs Wigan

Match preview

The model makes Leicester favourites at 64% (Wigan 17%, draw 19%). That rests on expected goals of 2.05 to 0.92, Leicester sitting 9th in the table to Wigan's 22nd and 5 wins in Leicester's last 10 matches to 3 for Wigan. Bookmakers give Leicester about 65% once their margin is removed, close to the model's view. It puts over 2.5 goals at 52% and both teams scoring at 46%.

Key facts

• Wigan failed to score in 3 of their last 5 away games.
• They last met on 4 Jan 2020, when Leicester won 2-0.
• Only 1 of the last 5 meetings had three or more goals.