West Brom vs Burnley

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made West Brom favourites at 78% (Burnley 8%, draw 14%). That rests on expected goals of 2.38 to 0.57 and 8 wins in West Brom's last 10 matches to 0 for Burnley. It put over 2.5 goals at 50% and both teams scoring at 48%. West Brom won 3-1, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• Burnley have gone 10 matches without a win.
• West Brom have won 6 matches in a row.
• They last met on 11 Mar 2025, when it finished 1-1.