Watford vs West Ham

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made West Ham favourites at 51% (Watford 28%, draw 21%). That rests on expected goals of 1.86 to 1.30 and 6 wins from the last 10 meetings to 3. It put over 2.5 goals at 65% and both teams scoring at 63%. It ended 1-1, a draw the model had put at 21%.

Key facts before the match

• They last met on 8 Feb 2022, when West Ham won 1-0.