Uxbridge vs Hornchurch

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Uxbridge favourites at 71% (Hornchurch 11%, draw 18%). That rests on expected goals of 1.96 to 0.58 and 7 wins in Uxbridge's last 10 matches to 4 for Hornchurch. It put over 2.5 goals at 50% and both teams scoring at 34%. Hornchurch won 4-0, against the model's 71% for Uxbridge.

Key facts before the match

• Uxbridge have won 5 matches in a row.