Gateshead vs Hornchurch

Match preview

The model makes Hornchurch favourites at 65% (Gateshead 16%, draw 19%). That rests on expected goals of 1.98 to 0.85, Hornchurch sitting 15th in the table to Gateshead's 24th and 4 wins in Hornchurch's last 10 matches to 1 for Gateshead. It puts over 2.5 goals at 58% and both teams scoring at 51%.

Key facts

• Hornchurch concede 2 goals a game away from home.