Union Berlin vs Schalke

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Schalke favourites at 52% (Union Berlin 30%, draw 18%). That rests on expected goals of 2.44 to 1.84 and 5 wins in Schalke's last 10 matches to 2 for Union Berlin. It put over 2.5 goals at 71% and both teams scoring at 69%. Schalke won 3-1, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• They last met on 19 Feb 2023, when it finished 0-0.