Union Berlin vs Hamburger SV

Match preview

The model makes Hamburger SV favourites at 49% (Union Berlin 29%, draw 22%). That rests on expected goals of 1.67 to 1.22, Hamburger SV sitting 11th in the table to Union Berlin's 16th and 5 wins in Hamburger SV's last 10 matches to 2 for Union Berlin. It puts over 2.5 goals at 54% and both teams scoring at 50%.

Key facts

• Union Berlin have gone 5 matches without a win.
• Hamburger SV failed to score in 2 of their last 4 away games.
• They last met on 14 Feb 2026, when Hamburger SV won 3-2.
• Hamburger SV concede 2.75 goals a game away from home.