Football · Serie A · Italy
Udinese vs AC Milan
Sunday, 25 October 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Match preview
The model makes AC Milan favourites at 78% (Udinese 8%, draw 14%). That rests on expected goals of 2.33 to 0.57, AC Milan sitting 4th in the table to Udinese's 16th, 5 wins in AC Milan's last 10 matches to 3 for Udinese and 5 wins from the last 10 meetings to 3. Bookmakers give AC Milan about 57% once their margin is removed, so the model is more confident than the market. It puts over 2.5 goals at 59% and both teams scoring at 41%.
Key facts
- Udinese have gone 6 matches without a win.
- They last met on 11 Apr 2026, when Udinese won 3-0.
Italy•Serie A
vs
Sunday, 25 October 2026 at 22:45
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.H2H: 3-2-5
Last 10 matches
1010
13/1818/12
1.301.80
1.801.20
8/108/10
3/106/10
9/107/10
5/104/10
1/103/10
2/102/10
8/1010/10
6/106/10
7/105/10
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Udinese at homeac Milan away
66
2/62/6
1/63/6
3/61/6
0.831.67
1.331.33
4/65/6
1/63/6
0/61/6
5/65/6
2/62/6
1/61/6
2/61/6
3/64/6
3/64/6
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Udinese: 0.57
Expected Goals
ac Milan: 2.33
Udinese
8%
Draw
14%
ac Milan
78%
Over 2.5: 59%
BTTS: 41%
Quality: high
Market Odds (1X2)
Vig 5.1%
1 — Udinese
5.10▲
Implied 19%
Edge -10.7%
X
3.90▲
Implied 24%
Edge -10.4%
2 — AC Milan
1.67▼
Implied 57%
Edge +21.0%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model rates that outcome higher than the bookmaker.
Team 1 Form
Udinese · # = league position now
18 Oct2026
Udinese#16 vs Lecce#12
0-3L
12 Oct2026
Torino#8 vs Udinese#16
2-1L
26 Sept2026
Pogon Szczecin#4 vs Udinese#16
1-1D
19 Sept2026
Udinese#16 vs Cagliari#7
0-1L
14 Sept2026
Inter#1 vs Udinese#16
5-3L
07 Sept2026
Udinese#16 vs Lazio#2
1-2L
02 Sept2026
Udinese#16 vs Venezia#20
2-1W
29 Aug2026
Monza#14 vs Udinese#16
2-3W
22 Aug2026
Udinese#16 vs Como#5
1-1D
15 Aug2026
Udinese#16 vs Padova#16
1-0W
Team 2 Form
ac Milan · # = league position now
22 Oct2026
Bournemouth#15 vs ac Milan#4
3-0L
18 Oct2026
ac Milan#4 vs Atalanta#11
3-2W
15 Oct2026
Salzburg#2 vs ac Milan#4
0-4W
11 Oct2026
Sassuolo#13 vs ac Milan#4
1-1D
20 Sept2026
ac Milan#4 vs Lecce#12
3-0W
16 Sept2026
ac Milan#4 vs Benfica#2
0-2L
12 Sept2026
Lazio#2 vs ac Milan#4
2-2D
06 Sept2026
Juventus#9 vs ac Milan#4
1-1D
28 Aug2026
ac Milan#4 vs Venezia#20
2-0W
23 Aug2026
Torino#8 vs ac Milan#4
1-2W
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
11 Apr2026
ac Milan#4 vs Udinese#16
0-3•
20 Sept2025
Udinese#16 vs ac Milan#4
0-3•
11 Apr2025
Udinese#16 vs ac Milan#4
0-4•
19 Oct2024
ac Milan#4 vs Udinese#16
1-0•
20 Jan2024
Udinese#16 vs ac Milan#4
2-3•
04 Nov2023
ac Milan#4 vs Udinese#16
0-1•
18 Mar2023
Udinese#16 vs ac Milan#4
3-1•
13 Aug2022
ac Milan#4 vs Udinese#16
4-2•
25 Feb2022
ac Milan#4 vs Udinese#16
1-1•
11 Dec2021
Udinese#16 vs ac Milan#4
1-1•
Upcoming matches
# = league position now
Udinese
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