Football · UEFA Nations League · Europe
Turkey vs Italy
Monday, 28 September 2026
Played. Source reports: FINISHED.Final score
Turkey1-4Italy
- 1ST HALF
- 0-3
- 2ND HALF
- 1-1
Prediction and result
Before kickoff, the model made Italy favourites at 43% (Turkey 34%, draw 23%). That rests on 3 wins from the last 6 meetings to 0. It put over 2.5 goals at 47% and both teams scoring at 51%. Italy won 4-1, as the model expected.
Key facts before the match
- They last met on 4 Jun 2024, when it finished 0-0.
Europe•UEFA Nations League
Turkey(0)
L34d
W125d
L131d
L137d
W144d
W150d
W212d
W217d
D345d
W348d
Italy(6)
L34d
W144d
W148d
D212d
W217d
L347d
W350d
W380d
W383d
W416d
Monday, 28 September 2026 at 21:45
Played. Source reports: FINISHED.Final score
Turkey1-4Italy
- 1ST HALF
- 0-3
- 2ND HALF
- 1-1
H2H: 0-4-6
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Turkey at homeItaly away
66
4/65/6
0/61/6
2/60/6
1.672.17
0.671.00
4/66/6
3/63/6
2/62/6
3/63/6
1/61/6
3/63/6
2/60/6
2/62/6
1/63/6
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Turkey: 1.24
Expected Goals
Italy: 1.42
Turkey
34%
Draw
23%
Italy
43%
Over 2.5: 47%
BTTS: 51%
Quality: high
Team 1 Form
Turkey · # = league position now
25 Sept2026
Turkey#4 vs France#1
0-1L
26 Jun2026
Turkey#4 vs Usa#1
3-2W
20 Jun2026
Turkey#4 vs Paraguay#3
0-1L
14 Jun2026
Australia#2 vs Turkey#4
2-0L
07 Jun2026
Venezuela vs Turkey#4
1-2W
01 Jun2026
Turkey#4 vs North Macedonia
4-0W
31 Mar2026
Kosovo vs Turkey#4
0-1W
26 Mar2026
Turkey#4 vs Romania#1
1-0W
18 Nov2025
Spain#1 vs Turkey#4
2-2D
15 Nov2025
Turkey#4 vs Bulgaria
2-0W
Team 2 Form
Italy · # = league position now
25 Sept2026
Italy#2 vs Belgium#3
0-2L
07 Jun2026
Greece#2 vs Italy#2
0-1W
03 Jun2026
Luxembourg vs Italy#2
0-1W
31 Mar2026
Bosnia & Herzegovina#3 vs Italy#2
1-1D
26 Mar2026
Italy#2 vs Northern Ireland
2-0W
16 Nov2025
Italy#2 vs Norway#4
1-4L
13 Nov2025
Moldova vs Italy#2
0-2W
14 Oct2025
Italy#2 vs Israel
3-0W
11 Oct2025
Estonia vs Italy#2
1-3W
08 Sept2025
Israel vs Italy#2
4-5W
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
04 Jun2024
Italy#2 vs Turkey#4
0-0•
29 Mar2022
Turkey#4 vs Italy#2
2-3•
11 Jun2021
Turkey#4 vs Italy#2
0-3•
15 Nov2006
Italy#2 vs Turkey#4
1-1•
20 Nov2002
Italy#2 vs Turkey#4
1-1•
11 Jun2000
Turkey#4 vs Italy#2
1-2•
21 Dec2094
Italy#2 vs Turkey#4
3-1•
25 Feb2073
Turkey#4 vs Italy#2
0-1•
13 Jan2073
Italy#2 vs Turkey#4
0-0•
27 Mar2063
Turkey#4 vs Italy#2
0-1•
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