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Football · UEFA Nations League · Europe

Italy vs France

Thursday, 12 November 2026

Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.

Match preview

The model makes France favourites at 52% (Italy 26%, draw 22%). That rests on expected goals of 1.72 to 1.12 and 5 wins from the last 10 meetings to 2. It puts over 2.5 goals at 54% and both teams scoring at 61%.

Key facts

  • France kept 5 clean sheets in their last 10 matches.
  • Italy are 2nd in UEFA Nations League on 7 points from 4 games; France are 1st on 10.
  • They last met on 2 Oct 2026, when it finished 1-1.
Europe•UEFA Nations League
Rank 2 · 7 pts
W21d
D24d
W28d
L31d
W141d
W145d
D209d
W214d
L344d
W347d
6W · 2D · 2L
vs
Rank 1 · 10 pts
W21d
D24d
W28d
W31d
L99d
L104d
W109d
W113d
W117d
W122d
7W · 1D · 2L
Thursday, 12 November 2026 at 22:45
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
H2H: 2-3-5
Last 10 matches
1010
16/1021/11
1.602.10
1.001.10
9/109/10
4/105/10
6/105/10
2/102/10
4/105/10
1/101/10
8/107/10
3/104/10
5/104/10
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Italy at homeFrance away
44
2/44/4
0/40/4
2/40/4
1.501.75
1.750.25
3/44/4
2/41/4
1/41/4
3/41/4
2/40/4
1/43/4
1/40/4
2/41/4
2/41/4
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Italy: 1.12
Expected Goals
France: 1.72
Italy
26%
Draw
22%
France
52%
Over 2.5: 54%
BTTS: 61%
Quality: high
Market Odds (1X2)
Bookmaker odds not available for this match.
Team 1 Form
Italy · # = league position now
05 Oct2026
Italy#2 vs Turkey#4
3-1W
02 Oct2026
France#1 vs Italy#2
1-1D
28 Sept2026
Turkey#4 vs Italy#2
1-4W
25 Sept2026
Italy#2 vs Belgium#3
0-2L
07 Jun2026
Greece#2 vs Italy#2
0-1W
03 Jun2026
Luxembourg vs Italy#2
0-1W
31 Mar2026
Bosnia & Herzegovina#3 vs Italy#2
1-1D
26 Mar2026
Italy#2 vs Northern Ireland
2-0W
16 Nov2025
Italy#2 vs Norway#4
1-4L
13 Nov2025
Moldova vs Italy#2
0-2W
Team 2 Form
France · # = league position now
05 Oct2026
France#1 vs Belgium#3
4-1W
02 Oct2026
France#1 vs Italy#2
1-1D
28 Sept2026
Belgium#3 vs France#1
0-1W
25 Sept2026
Turkey#4 vs France#1
0-1W
19 Jul2026
France#1 vs England#2
4-6L
14 Jul2026
France#1 vs Spain#1
0-2L
09 Jul2026
France#1 vs Morocco#2
2-0W
05 Jul2026
Paraguay#3 vs France#1
0-1W
01 Jul2026
France#1 vs Sweden#3
3-0W
26 Jun2026
Norway#4 vs France#1
1-4W
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
02 Oct2026
France#1 vs Italy#2
1-1•
17 Nov2024
Italy#2 vs France#1
1-3•
06 Sept2024
France#1 vs Italy#2
1-3•
01 Jun2018
France#1 vs Italy#2
3-1•
01 Sept2016
Italy#2 vs France#1
1-3•
14 Nov2012
Italy#2 vs France#1
1-2•
17 Jun2008
France#1 vs Italy#2
0-2•
08 Sept2007
Italy#2 vs France#1
0-0•
06 Sept2006
France#1 vs Italy#2
3-1•
09 Jul2006
Italy#2 vs France#1
1-1•

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