Toulouse vs Troyes

Match preview

The model makes Toulouse favourites at 61% (Troyes 20%, draw 19%). That rests on expected goals of 2.04 to 1.05, Toulouse sitting 12th in the table to Troyes's 17th and 6 wins from the last 10 meetings to 0. Bookmakers give Toulouse about 59% once their margin is removed, close to the model's view. It puts over 2.5 goals at 58% and both teams scoring at 56%.

Key facts

• Troyes have gone 6 matches without a win.
• They last met on 1 Feb 2023, when Toulouse won 4-1.