Sunderland vs Arsenal

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Arsenal favourites at 66% (Sunderland 13%, draw 21%). That rests on expected goals of 1.72 to 0.58 and 7 wins from the last 10 meetings to 0. It put over 2.5 goals at 48% and both teams scoring at 44%. Arsenal won 2-0, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• Arsenal have won 5 matches in a row.
• They last met on 7 Feb 2026, when Arsenal won 3-0.