Stoke vs Norwich

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Norwich favourites at 53% (Stoke 24%, draw 23%). That rests on expected goals of 1.53 to 0.92, 5 wins in Norwich's last 10 matches to 2 for Stoke and 6 wins from the last 10 meetings to 1. It put over 2.5 goals at 44% and both teams scoring at 50%. Stoke won 1-0, against the model's 53% for Norwich.

Key facts before the match

• They last met on 4 Jan 2026, when Stoke won 2-0.