Stoke vs Hull

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Hull favourites at 54% (Stoke 22%, draw 24%). That rests on expected goals of 1.44 to 0.81 and 6 wins in Hull's last 10 matches to 2 for Stoke. Stoke lead the head-to-head 6-3, which keeps it from being more one-sided. It put over 2.5 goals at 43% and both teams scoring at 47%. It ended 1-1, a draw the model had put at 24%.

Key facts before the match

• They last met on 1 Jan 2026, when Stoke won 1-0.