Stevenage vs MK Dons

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Stevenage favourites at 65% (MK Dons 17%, draw 18%). That rests on expected goals of 2.21 to 1.01 and 6 wins in Stevenage's last 10 matches to 3 for MK Dons. It put over 2.5 goals at 66% and both teams scoring at 63%. MK Dons won 1-0, against the model's 65% for Stevenage.

Key facts before the match

• They last met on 26 Jul 2025, when Stevenage won 2-1.
• 8 of the last 10 meetings had three or more goals.