St. Pauli vs Greuther Furth

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Greuther Furth favourites at 51% (St. Pauli 29%, draw 20%). That rests on expected goals of 1.94 to 1.40, 6 wins in Greuther Furth's last 10 matches to 4 for St. Pauli and 5 wins from the last 10 meetings to 3. It put over 2.5 goals at 72% and both teams scoring at 67%. It ended 1-1, a draw the model had put at 20%.

Key facts before the match

• Greuther Furth have won 4 matches in a row.
• They last met on 19 Jul 2024, when Greuther Furth won 3-1.
• 9 of the last 10 meetings had three or more goals.