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Match Intelligence

Live API

Football · Premiership · Scotland

St Johnstone vs Motherwell

Wednesday, 28 October 2026

Match preview

The model makes St Johnstone favourites at 57% (Motherwell 23%, draw 20%). That rests on expected goals of 1.92 to 1.12, St Johnstone sitting 5th in the table to Motherwell's 10th and 3 wins in St Johnstone's last 10 matches to 1 for Motherwell. Bookmakers give St Johnstone about 42% once their margin is removed, so the model is more confident than the market. It puts over 2.5 goals at 59% and both teams scoring at 58%.

Key facts

Motherwell have lost 5 matches in a row.
They last met on 16 Aug 2025, when Motherwell won 1-0.
Motherwell concede 2.33 goals a game away from home.

Scotland•Premiership

st Johnstone(3)

Rank 5 · 12 pts

L0d

D7d

W13d

D35d

L45d

W48d

D52d

L56d

L77d

W83d

3W · 3D · 4L

Motherwell(4)

Rank 10 · 8 pts

L7d

L13d

L35d

L39d

L49d

W52d

D55d

L58d

L65d

L69d

1W · 1D · 8L

Wednesday, 28 October 2026 at 22:45

H2H: 3-3-4

Last 10 matches

1010

11/1511/23

1.101.10

1.502.30

7/106/10

2/103/10

9/109/10

3/107/10

1/101/10

3/104/10

7/108/10

4/107/10

6/105/10

Home & away form · from last 10 matches

st Johnstone at homeMotherwell away

2/50/6

2/51/6

1/55/6

1.601.17

1.402.33

4/54/6

2/52/6

1/51/6

5/56/6

1/54/6

0/50/6

1/52/6

2/54/6

4/54/6

Model Prediction

Expected Goals

st Johnstone: 1.92

Expected Goals

Motherwell: 1.12

st Johnstone

57%

Draw

20%

Motherwell

23%

Over 2.5: 59%

BTTS: 58%

Quality: high

Market Odds (1X2)

Vig 7.4%

1 — St Johnstone

2.20

Implied 42%

Edge +14.7%

3.50▲

Implied 27%

Edge -6.6%

2 — Motherwell

3.00

Implied 31%

Edge -8.0%

Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model rates that outcome higher than the bookmaker.

Team 1 Form

st Johnstone · # = league position now

24 Oct2026

Rangers#2 vs st Johnstone#5

4-0L

17 Oct2026

st Johnstone#5 vs Dundee Utd#6

1-1D

11 Oct2026

Aberdeen#7 vs st Johnstone#5

0-1W

19 Sept2026

st Johnstone#5 vs Falkirk#9

1-1D

09 Sept2026

st Johnstone#5 vs Celtic#1

0-1L

06 Sept2026

st Johnstone#5 vs Hibernian#12

2-1W

02 Sept2026

Dundee fc#4 vs st Johnstone#5

1-1D

29 Aug2026

Hearts#3 vs st Johnstone#5

2-1L

08 Aug2026

St. Mirren#8 vs st Johnstone#5

1-0L

02 Aug2026

st Johnstone#5 vs Kilmarnock#11

4-3W

Team 2 Form

Motherwell · # = league position now

17 Oct2026

Kilmarnock#11 vs Motherwell#10

3-2L

11 Oct2026

Motherwell#10 vs Celtic#1

0-2L

19 Sept2026

Dundee fc#4 vs Motherwell#10

2-1L

15 Sept2026

Motherwell#10 vs Aberdeen#7

0-4L

05 Sept2026

Rangers#2 vs Motherwell#10

1-0L

02 Sept2026

Motherwell#10 vs Dundee Utd#6

3-0W

30 Aug2026

St. Mirren#8 vs Motherwell#10

3-3D

27 Aug2026

Freiburg#3 vs Motherwell#10

4-1L

20 Aug2026

Motherwell#10 vs Freiburg#3

1-3L

16 Aug2026

Stenhousemuir#1 vs Motherwell#10

1-0L

Head-to-Head

Last 10 · # = league position now

16 Aug2025