Sporting CP vs Arouca

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Sporting CP favourites at 81% (Arouca 6%, draw 13%). That rests on expected goals of 2.35 to 0.41, 8 wins in Sporting CP's last 10 matches to 4 for Arouca and 7 wins from the last 10 meetings to 1. It put over 2.5 goals at 62% and both teams scoring at 36%. It ended 2-2, a draw the model had put at 13%.

Key facts before the match

• Sporting CP are unbeaten in 10 matches.
• They last met on 24 Jan 2026, when Sporting CP won 2-1.