Football · Champions League · Europe
Shakhtar Donetsk vs Sporting CP
Tuesday, 03 November 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Match preview
The model makes Sporting CP favourites at 41% (Shakhtar Donetsk 37%, draw 22%). That rests on Sporting CP sitting 12th in the table to Shakhtar Donetsk's 17th. Bookmakers give Sporting CP about 50% once their margin is removed, so the model is less confident than the market. It puts over 2.5 goals at 63% and both teams scoring at 58%.
Key facts
- Over 2.5 goals came in 7 of Shakhtar Donetsk's last 10 matches and 7 of Sporting CP's.
- Sporting CP scored in every one of their last 10 matches.
- Shakhtar Donetsk have scored in all of their last 5 home games.
- Shakhtar Donetsk average 2.6 goals a game at home.
- Shakhtar Donetsk kept 5 clean sheets in their last 10 matches.
Europe•Champions League
vs
Tuesday, 03 November 2026 at 20:45
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.H2H: 0-0-2
Last 10 matches
1010
22/525/11
2.202.50
0.501.10
9/1010/10
8/109/10
5/107/10
0/103/10
5/103/10
1/100/10
9/1010/10
7/107/10
4/107/10
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Shakhtar Donetsk at homeSporting cp away
54
5/53/4
0/51/4
0/50/4
2.602.50
0.400.50
5/54/4
5/53/4
3/52/4
2/52/4
0/50/4
3/52/4
0/50/4
4/52/4
2/52/4
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Shakhtar Donetsk: 1.5
Expected Goals
Sporting cp: 1.58
Shakhtar Donetsk
37%
Draw
22%
Sporting cp
41%
Over 2.5: 63%
BTTS: 58%
Quality: high
Market Odds (1X2)
Vig 4.8%
1 — Shakhtar Donetsk
3.70▲
Implied 26%
Edge +11.2%
X
3.90▲
Implied 24%
Edge -2.5%
2 — Sporting CP
1.92▼
Implied 50%
Edge -8.7%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model rates that outcome higher than the bookmaker.
Team 1 Form
Shakhtar Donetsk · # = league position now
21 Oct2026
Inter#21 vs Shakhtar Donetsk#17
1-0L
17 Oct2026
Shakhtar Donetsk#17 vs Kolos Kovalivka
2-1W
14 Oct2026
Shakhtar Donetsk#17 vs Aek Athens#29
3-1W
09 Oct2026
Veres-rivne vs Shakhtar Donetsk#17
0-3W
02 Oct2026
Shakhtar Donetsk#17 vs Kryvbas
3-0W
20 Sept2026
Shakhtar Donetsk#17 vs Lnz Cherkasy
3-0W
17 Sept2026
fc Vilkhivtsi vs Shakhtar Donetsk#17
0-3W
14 Sept2026
Shakhtar Donetsk#17 vs Ch. Odesa
2-0W
10 Sept2026
Psv#18 vs Shakhtar Donetsk#17
1-1D
05 Sept2026
Karpaty Lviv vs Shakhtar Donetsk#17
1-2W
Team 2 Form
Sporting cp · # = league position now
21 Oct2026
Sporting cp#12 vs Lask#24
2-3L
13 Oct2026
Lens#27 vs Sporting cp#12
0-2W
09 Oct2026
Braga#9 vs Sporting cp#12
1-3W
19 Sept2026
Sporting cp#12 vs Arouca#5
2-2D
13 Sept2026
Famalicao#14 vs Sporting cp#12
1-1D
09 Sept2026
Sporting cp#12 vs Galatasaray#23
3-1W
05 Sept2026
Sporting cp#12 vs Nacional#16
2-0W
28 Aug2026
Rio Ave#15 vs Sporting cp#12
0-4W
22 Aug2026
Sporting cp#12 vs Alverca#8
3-1W
14 Aug2026
Sporting cp#12 vs Vitoria Guimaraes#11
3-2W
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
04 Nov2008
Sporting cp#12 vs Shakhtar Donetsk#17
1-0•
22 Oct2008
Shakhtar Donetsk#17 vs Sporting cp#12
0-1•
Upcoming matches
# = league position now
Shakhtar Donetsk
No upcoming fixtures listed.
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