Southampton vs Portsmouth

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Southampton favourites at 56% (Portsmouth 24%, draw 20%). That rests on expected goals of 1.97 to 1.21 and 5 wins in Southampton's last 10 matches to 2 for Portsmouth. It put over 2.5 goals at 59% and both teams scoring at 65%. Southampton won 1-0, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• They last met on 25 Jan 2026, when it finished 1-1.