Sochi vs Chelyabinsk

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Sochi favourites at 72% (Chelyabinsk 12%, draw 16%). That rests on expected goals of 2.31 to 0.80 and 6 wins in Sochi's last 10 matches to 2 for Chelyabinsk. It put over 2.5 goals at 64% and both teams scoring at 54%. Sochi won 2-1, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• Sochi have won 4 matches in a row.