Football · FNL · Russia
Chelyabinsk vs Shinnik Yaroslavl
Sunday, 01 November 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Match preview
The model makes Shinnik Yaroslavl favourites at 45% (Chelyabinsk 30%, draw 25%). That rests on Shinnik Yaroslavl sitting 7th in the table to Chelyabinsk's 13th. Bookmakers give Shinnik Yaroslavl about 30% once their margin is removed, so the model is more confident than the market. It puts over 2.5 goals at 41% and both teams scoring at 49%.
Key facts
- Chelyabinsk have lost 3 matches in a row.
- They last met on 16 May 2026, when it finished 2-2.
Russia•FNL
vs
Sunday, 01 November 2026 at 16:00
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.H2H: 0-1-1
Last 10 matches
1010
13/1410/10
1.301.00
1.401.00
8/106/10
3/104/10
9/106/10
4/102/10
1/104/10
2/104/10
8/107/10
5/103/10
7/104/10
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Chelyabinsk at homeShinnik Yaroslavl away
43
1/40/3
1/42/3
2/41/3
1.000.33
1.501.67
3/41/3
1/40/3
0/40/3
4/42/3
1/41/3
0/41/3
1/42/3
2/41/3
3/41/3
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Chelyabinsk: 1.03
Expected Goals
Shinnik Yaroslavl: 1.32
Chelyabinsk
30%
Draw
25%
Shinnik Yaroslavl
45%
Over 2.5: 41%
BTTS: 49%
Quality: high
Market Odds (1X2)
Vig 9.1%
1 — Chelyabinsk
2.30▼
Implied 40%
Edge -9.9%
X
3.00
Implied 31%
Edge -5.6%
2 — Shinnik Yaroslavl
3.10▲
Implied 30%
Edge +15.4%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model rates that outcome higher than the bookmaker.
Team 1 Form
Chelyabinsk · # = league position now
25 Oct2026
Chelyabinsk#13 vs Ural#5
1-3L
18 Oct2026
Tekstilshtik#18 vs Chelyabinsk#13
2-1L
13 Oct2026
s. Kostroma#6 vs Chelyabinsk#13
1-0L
09 Oct2026
Neftekhimik#14 vs Chelyabinsk#13
2-4W
26 Sept2026
Chelyabinsk#13 vs Yenisey#15
1-1D
18 Sept2026
Chelyabinsk#13 vs Ufa#9
2-1W
14 Sept2026
Kamaz#16 vs Chelyabinsk#13
1-1D
10 Sept2026
Dynamo Barnaul vs Chelyabinsk#13
0-2W
05 Sept2026
Chelyabinsk#13 vs s. Kostroma#6
0-1L
30 Aug2026
Sochi#2 vs Chelyabinsk#13
2-1L
Team 2 Form
Shinnik Yaroslavl · # = league position now
26 Oct2026
Shinnik Yaroslavl#7 vs s. Kostroma#6
2-1W
18 Oct2026
Veles Moscow#4 vs Shinnik Yaroslavl#7
1-1D
14 Oct2026
Pari nn#1 vs Shinnik Yaroslavl#7
4-0L
10 Oct2026
Shinnik Yaroslavl#7 vs Tekstilshtik#18
2-0W
27 Sept2026
Shinnik Yaroslavl#7 vs Ska Khabarovsk#17
0-0D
18 Sept2026
Shinnik Yaroslavl#7 vs Kamaz#16
0-1L
14 Sept2026
Shinnik Yaroslavl#7 vs Ural#5
1-1D
10 Sept2026
Shinnik Yaroslavl#7 vs Torpedo Moscow#3
2-0W
05 Sept2026
Shinnik Yaroslavl#7 vs r. Volgograd#11
2-2D
30 Aug2026
Yenisey#15 vs Shinnik Yaroslavl#7
0-0D
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
16 May2026
Chelyabinsk#13 vs Shinnik Yaroslavl#7
2-2•
01 Nov2025
Shinnik Yaroslavl#7 vs Chelyabinsk#13
1-0•
Upcoming matches
# = league position now
Chelyabinsk
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