Salzburg vs AC Milan

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Salzburg favourites at 71% (AC Milan 13%, draw 16%). That rests on expected goals of 2.27 to 0.81 and 7 wins in Salzburg's last 10 matches to 4 for AC Milan. It put over 2.5 goals at 56% and both teams scoring at 45%. AC Milan won 4-0, against the model's 71% for Salzburg.

Key facts before the match

• They last met on 2 Nov 2022, when AC Milan won 4-0.