Football · Bundesliga · Austria
Salzburg vs A. Lustenau
Sunday, 01 November 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Match preview
The model makes Salzburg favourites at 74% (A. Lustenau 12%, draw 14%). That rests on expected goals of 2.73 to 1.02, Salzburg sitting 2nd in the table to A. Lustenau's 10th and 8 wins from the last 8 meetings to 0. Bookmakers give Salzburg about 80% once their margin is removed, so the model is less confident than the market. It puts over 2.5 goals at 74% and both teams scoring at 45%.
Key facts
- Over 2.5 goals came in 7 of Salzburg's last 10 matches and 7 of A. Lustenau's.
- Salzburg kept 5 clean sheets in their last 10 matches.
- A. Lustenau have lost 3 matches in a row.
- They last met on 24 Feb 2024, when Salzburg won 7-0.
- A. Lustenau concede 2.25 goals a game away from home.
Austria•Bundesliga
vs
Sunday, 01 November 2026 at 16:30
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.H2H: 9-0-1
Last 10 matches
1010
19/1018/20
1.901.80
1.002.00
8/107/10
5/105/10
5/109/10
3/105/10
5/101/10
2/103/10
8/109/10
7/107/10
4/106/10
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Salzburg at homea. Lustenau away
54
3/51/4
0/51/4
2/52/4
2.402.75
1.402.25
4/54/4
3/52/4
3/52/4
3/54/4
2/53/4
2/50/4
1/50/4
5/53/4
2/54/4
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Salzburg: 2.73
Expected Goals
a. Lustenau: 1.02
Salzburg
74%
Draw
14%
a. Lustenau
12%
Over 2.5: 74%
BTTS: 45%
Quality: high
Market Odds (1X2)
Vig 8.1%
1 — Salzburg
1.16
Implied 80%
Edge -5.8%
X
7.40▲
Implied 13%
Edge +1.5%
2 — A. Lustenau
12.00
Implied 8%
Edge +4.3%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model rates that outcome higher than the bookmaker.
Team 1 Form
Salzburg · # = league position now
22 Oct2026
Celje#29 vs Salzburg#2
2-2D
18 Oct2026
Salzburg#2 vs Altach#8
3-0W
15 Oct2026
Salzburg#2 vs ac Milan#4
0-4L
10 Oct2026
Grazer ak#9 vs Salzburg#2
0-0D
02 Oct2026
Salzburg#2 vs bw Linz#1
1-2L
20 Sept2026
Salzburg#2 vs Sturm Graz#4
3-0W
17 Sept2026
Levski Sofia#1 vs Salzburg#2
0-1W
11 Sept2026
Ried#5 vs Salzburg#2
1-1D
06 Sept2026
St. Polten#11 vs Salzburg#2
0-3W
02 Sept2026
Salzburg#2 vs sk Rapid#1
5-1W
Team 2 Form
a. Lustenau · # = league position now
17 Oct2026
a. Lustenau#10 vs Lask#3
0-4L
11 Oct2026
Hartberg#7 vs a. Lustenau#10
4-3L
03 Oct2026
a. Lustenau#10 vs Schalke#15
0-1L
24 Sept2026
a. Lustenau#10 vs Bregenz#12
3-1W
19 Sept2026
a. Lustenau#10 vs Altach#8
2-0W
13 Sept2026
Austria Vienna#11 vs a. Lustenau#10
2-1L
05 Sept2026
Lafnitz vs a. Lustenau#10
2-6W
28 Aug2026
a. Lustenau#10 vs Tirol#6
0-4L
22 Aug2026
Sturm Graz#4 vs a. Lustenau#10
1-1D
15 Aug2026
a. Lustenau#10 vs Wolfsberger ac#12
2-1W
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
24 Feb2024
Salzburg#2 vs a. Lustenau#10
7-0•
30 Sept2023
a. Lustenau#10 vs Salzburg#2
0-4•
11 Feb2023
Salzburg#2 vs a. Lustenau#10
4-0•
27 Aug2022
a. Lustenau#10 vs Salzburg#2
0-6•
29 May2020
Salzburg#2 vs a. Lustenau#10
5-0•
31 Oct2018
a. Lustenau#10 vs Salzburg#2
0-1•
27 May2000
a. Lustenau#10 vs Salzburg#2
0-2•
25 Mar2000
Salzburg#2 vs a. Lustenau#10
2-0•
11 Sept2099
a. Lustenau#10 vs Salzburg#2
1-0•
30 Jun2099
Salzburg#2 vs a. Lustenau#10
1-0•
Upcoming matches
# = league position now
Salzburg
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