Football · Bundesliga · Austria
LASK vs Salzburg
Sunday, 25 October 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Match preview
The model makes Salzburg favourites at 51% (LASK 29%, draw 20%). That rests on expected goals of 2.05 to 1.48. Bookmakers give Salzburg about 33% once their margin is removed, so the model is more confident than the market. It puts over 2.5 goals at 76% and both teams scoring at 66%.
Key facts
- Over 2.5 goals came in 8 of LASK's last 10 matches and 7 of Salzburg's.
- Salzburg kept 5 clean sheets in their last 10 matches.
- LASK are 3rd in Bundesliga on 19 points from 9 games; Salzburg are 2nd on 21.
- They last met on 10 May 2026, when LASK won 2-1.
- 8 of the last 10 meetings had three or more goals.
Austria•Bundesliga
vs
Sunday, 25 October 2026 at 19:00
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.H2H: 5-0-5
Last 10 matches
1010
25/1919/10
2.501.90
1.901.00
8/108/10
7/105/10
9/105/10
5/103/10
1/105/10
2/102/10
9/108/10
8/107/10
7/104/10
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Lask at homeSalzburg away
35
1/32/5
0/33/5
2/30/5
1.671.40
3.000.60
2/34/5
2/32/5
1/31/5
3/32/5
2/31/5
0/33/5
1/31/5
2/32/5
2/32/5
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Lask: 1.48
Expected Goals
Salzburg: 2.05
Lask
29%
Draw
20%
Salzburg
51%
Over 2.5: 76%
BTTS: 66%
Quality: high
Market Odds (1X2)
Vig 7.2%
1 — LASK
2.15
Implied 43%
Edge -14.4%
X
3.90▲
Implied 24%
Edge -3.9%
2 — Salzburg
2.85▲
Implied 33%
Edge +18.3%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model rates that outcome higher than the bookmaker.
Team 1 Form
Lask · # = league position now
21 Oct2026
Sporting cp#3 vs Lask#3
2-3W
17 Oct2026
a. Lustenau#10 vs Lask#3
0-4W
14 Oct2026
Lask#3 vs Liverpool#5
3-6L
11 Oct2026
Lask#3 vs sk Rapid#1
0-2L
02 Oct2026
Lask#3 vs First Vienna#2
2-1W
20 Sept2026
Hartberg#7 vs Lask#3
3-3D
13 Sept2026
Sturm Graz#4 vs Lask#3
2-1L
08 Sept2026
Aek Athens#1 vs Lask#3
1-0L
05 Sept2026
Deutschlandsberger vs Lask#3
1-6W
01 Sept2026
Wolfsberger ac#12 vs Lask#3
1-3W
Team 2 Form
Salzburg · # = league position now
22 Oct2026
Celje#29 vs Salzburg#2
2-2D
18 Oct2026
Salzburg#2 vs Altach#8
3-0W
15 Oct2026
Salzburg#2 vs ac Milan#4
0-4L
10 Oct2026
Grazer ak#9 vs Salzburg#2
0-0D
02 Oct2026
Salzburg#2 vs bw Linz#1
1-2L
20 Sept2026
Salzburg#2 vs Sturm Graz#4
3-0W
17 Sept2026
Levski Sofia#1 vs Salzburg#2
0-1W
11 Sept2026
Ried#5 vs Salzburg#2
1-1D
06 Sept2026
St. Polten#11 vs Salzburg#2
0-3W
02 Sept2026
Salzburg#2 vs sk Rapid#1
5-1W
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
10 May2026
Lask#3 vs Salzburg#2
2-1•
10 Apr2026
Salzburg#2 vs Lask#3
2-3•
22 Feb2026
Lask#3 vs Salzburg#2
1-5•
23 Aug2025
Salzburg#2 vs Lask#3
3-0•
02 Feb2025
Lask#3 vs Salzburg#2
2-1•
23 Nov2024
Salzburg#2 vs Lask#3
1-2•
17 Aug2024
Lask#3 vs Salzburg#2
0-1•
19 May2024
Salzburg#2 vs Lask#3
7-1•
12 Apr2024
Lask#3 vs Salzburg#2
3-1•
09 Mar2024
Lask#3 vs Salzburg#2
0-1•
Upcoming matches
# = league position now
Lask
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