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Football · DFB Pokal · Germany

RW Essen vs RB Leipzig

Tuesday, 27 October 2026

Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.

Match preview

The model makes RW Essen favourites at 57% (RB Leipzig 25%, draw 18%). That rests on expected goals of 2.24 to 1.43. Bookmakers give RW Essen about 8% once their margin is removed, so the model is more confident than the market. It puts over 2.5 goals at 67% and both teams scoring at 61%.

Key facts

  • RW Essen have scored in all of their last 5 home games.
  • RB Leipzig kept 5 clean sheets in their last 10 matches.
  • They last met on 17 Aug 2024, when RB Leipzig won 4-1.
  • RB Leipzig concede 3.17 goals a game away from home.
Germany•DFB Pokal
rw Essen(2)
W1d
L7d
W11d
D15d
D21d
D34d
W38d
W42d
W49d
D56d
5W · 4D · 1L
vs
rb Leipzig(1)
L3d
L7d
W11d
W14d
L34d
W41d
L44d
L49d
W56d
W63d
5W · 0D · 5L
Tuesday, 27 October 2026 at 20:00
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
H2H: 2-0-1
Last 10 matches
1010
18/1025/19
1.802.50
1.001.90
8/109/10
5/104/10
6/105/10
3/105/10
4/105/10
2/101/10
6/109/10
4/108/10
5/104/10
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
rw Essen at homerb Leipzig away
56
4/51/6
1/50/6
0/55/6
2.201.67
0.603.17
5/55/6
2/51/6
1/51/6
2/55/6
1/55/6
3/51/6
0/51/6
1/55/6
2/54/6
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
rw Essen: 2.24
Expected Goals
rb Leipzig: 1.43
rw Essen
57%
Draw
18%
rb Leipzig
25%
Over 2.5: 67%
BTTS: 61%
Quality: high
Market Odds (1X2)
Vig 6.7%
1 — RW Essen
12.00
Implied 8%
Edge +49.2%
X
7.00▼
Implied 13%
Edge +4.6%
2 — RB Leipzig
1.19▲
Implied 79%
Edge -53.8%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model rates that outcome higher than the bookmaker.
Team 1 Form
rw Essen · # = league position now
23 Oct2026
rw Essen vs Regensburg
1-0W
17 Oct2026
Ingolstadt vs rw Essen
1-0L
13 Oct2026
rw Essen vs Fortuna Koln
2-0W
09 Oct2026
Preussen Munster vs rw Essen
3-3D
03 Oct2026
Arminia Bielefeld#8 vs rw Essen
2-2D
20 Sept2026
rw Essen vs Hansa Rostock
1-1D
16 Sept2026
Mannheim vs rw Essen
1-2W
12 Sept2026
rw Essen vs Wurzburger Kickers
6-2W
05 Sept2026
rw Essen vs Viktoria Koln
1-0W
29 Aug2026
Wehen vs rw Essen
0-0D
Team 2 Form
rb Leipzig · # = league position now
21 Oct2026
Real Madrid#3 vs rb Leipzig#7
4-1L
17 Oct2026
Bayern Munich#1 vs rb Leipzig#7
6-1L
13 Oct2026
rb Leipzig#7 vs Psv#3
1-0W
10 Oct2026
rb Leipzig#7 vs Eintracht Frankfurt#11
6-0W
20 Sept2026
Bayer Leverkusen#4 vs rb Leipzig#7
2-0L
13 Sept2026
rb Leipzig#7 vs Hamburger sv#9
5-0W
10 Sept2026
Como#5 vs rb Leipzig#7
4-1L
05 Sept2026
Werder Bremen#8 vs rb Leipzig#7
3-1L
29 Aug2026
rb Leipzig#7 vs b. Monchengladbach#18
3-0W
22 Aug2026
Eintracht Trier vs rb Leipzig#7
0-6W
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
17 Aug2024
rw Essen vs rb Leipzig#7
1-4•
27 Jan2001
rb Leipzig#7 vs rw Essen
0-2•
04 Aug2000
rw Essen vs rb Leipzig#7
3-1•
Upcoming matches
# = league position now
rw Essen
No upcoming fixtures listed.

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