Rotherham vs Newport

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Newport favourites at 65% (Rotherham 15%, draw 20%). That rests on expected goals of 1.78 to 0.71 and 3 wins in Newport's last 10 matches to 1 for Rotherham. It put over 2.5 goals at 41% and both teams scoring at 45%. It ended 2-2, a draw the model had put at 20%.

Key facts before the match

• Newport are unbeaten in 8 matches.
• Rotherham have lost 4 matches in a row.