Football · Ligue 1 · France
Rennes vs Strasbourg
Sunday, 25 October 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Match preview
The model makes Rennes favourites at 68% (Strasbourg 16%, draw 16%). That rests on expected goals of 2.44 to 1.10, Rennes sitting 6th in the table to Strasbourg's 14th, 4 wins in Rennes's last 9 matches to 2 for Strasbourg and 6 wins from the last 10 meetings to 3. Bookmakers give Rennes about 55% once their margin is removed, so the model is more confident than the market. It puts over 2.5 goals at 65% and both teams scoring at 61%.
Key facts
- Strasbourg have lost 3 matches in a row.
- They last met on 19 Apr 2026, when Rennes won 3-0.
- Strasbourg concede 2.17 goals a game away from home.
France•Ligue 1
vs
Sunday, 25 October 2026 at 19:15
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.H2H: 6-1-3
Last 10 matches
109
17/1613/18
1.701.44
1.602.00
7/107/9
6/102/9
8/109/9
4/106/9
2/100/9
3/102/9
7/109/9
7/106/9
6/107/9
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Rennes at homeStrasbourg away
46
4/41/6
0/41/6
0/44/6
2.501.50
1.002.17
4/44/6
3/41/6
2/41/6
3/46/6
1/45/6
1/40/6
0/42/6
3/44/6
3/44/6
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Rennes: 2.44
Expected Goals
Strasbourg: 1.1
Rennes
68%
Draw
16%
Strasbourg
16%
Over 2.5: 65%
BTTS: 61%
Quality: high
Market Odds (1X2)
Vig 5.8%
1 — Rennes
1.72▲
Implied 55%
Edge +13.0%
X
4.30▼
Implied 22%
Edge -6.0%
2 — Strasbourg
4.10▼
Implied 23%
Edge -7.1%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model rates that outcome higher than the bookmaker.
Team 1 Form
Rennes · # = league position now
22 Oct2026
Juventus#9 vs Rennes#6
2-2D
18 Oct2026
Paris fc#3 vs Rennes#6
4-3L
15 Oct2026
Rennes#6 vs Ofi Crete#5
2-1W
11 Oct2026
Rennes#6 vs Auxerre#13
4-1W
02 Oct2026
Laval#18 vs Rennes#6
1-0L
19 Sept2026
Lyon#1 vs Rennes#6
4-0L
16 Sept2026
Sturm Graz#4 vs Rennes#6
0-0D
11 Sept2026
Rennes#6 vs Marseille#10
1-0W
06 Sept2026
Angers#15 vs Rennes#6
1-2W
30 Aug2026
Rennes#6 vs le Mans#16
3-2W
Team 2 Form
Strasbourg · # = league position now
17 Oct2026
Strasbourg#14 vs Psg#2
1-3L
11 Oct2026
Nice#8 vs Strasbourg#14
2-1L
19 Sept2026
Paris fc#3 vs Strasbourg#14
2-1L
12 Sept2026
Strasbourg#14 vs Monaco#5
1-1D
06 Sept2026
Troyes#17 vs Strasbourg#14
2-6W
29 Aug2026
Strasbourg#14 vs Lens#9
2-1W
21 Aug2026
Marseille#10 vs Strasbourg#14
4-0L
16 Aug2026
Newcastle (eng) vs Strasbourg (fra)
1-1D
08 Aug2026
Freiburg (ger) vs Strasbourg (fra)
2-0L
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
19 Apr2026
Strasbourg#14 vs Rennes#6
0-3•
02 Nov2025
Rennes#6 vs Strasbourg#14
4-1•
02 Feb2025
Rennes#6 vs Strasbourg#14
1-0•
25 Aug2024
Strasbourg#14 vs Rennes#6
3-1•
31 Mar2024
Strasbourg#14 vs Rennes#6
2-0•
29 Oct2023
Rennes#6 vs Strasbourg#14
1-1•
01 Feb2023
Rennes#6 vs Strasbourg#14
3-0•
01 Oct2022
Strasbourg#14 vs Rennes#6
1-3•
20 Apr2022
Strasbourg#14 vs Rennes#6
2-1•
24 Oct2021
Rennes#6 vs Strasbourg#14
1-0•
Upcoming matches
# = league position now
Rennes
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