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Football · Ligue 1 · France

Nice vs Rennes

Saturday, 31 October 2026

Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.

Match preview

The model makes Rennes favourites at 44% (Nice 33%, draw 23%). That rests on 5 wins in Rennes's last 10 matches to 3 for Nice. Bookmakers give Rennes about 40% once their margin is removed, close to the model's view. It puts over 2.5 goals at 52% and both teams scoring at 50%.

Key facts

  • Rennes failed to score in 3 of their last 6 away games.
  • Nice are 8th in Ligue 1 on 11 points from 8 games; Rennes are 6th on 13.
  • They last met on 8 Mar 2026, when Rennes won 4-0.
  • Rennes concede 2 goals a game away from home.
France•Ligue 1
Nice(5)
Rank 8 · 11 pts
W1d
L6d
W13d
W34d
L42d
D49d
L55d
D63d
D70d
D77d
3W · 4D · 3L
vs
Rank 6 · 13 pts
D2d
L6d
W9d
W13d
L22d
L35d
D38d
W43d
W48d
W55d
5W · 2D · 3L
Saturday, 31 October 2026 at 19:15
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
H2H: 5-1-4
Last 10 matches
1010
8/1017/16
0.801.70
1.001.60
5/107/10
3/106/10
7/108/10
2/104/10
3/102/10
5/103/10
6/107/10
5/107/10
5/106/10
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Nice at homeRennes away
46
2/41/6
2/42/6
0/43/6
1.251.17
0.752.00
3/43/6
2/43/6
0/41/6
3/45/6
0/43/6
1/41/6
1/43/6
2/44/6
3/43/6
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Nice: 1.22
Expected Goals
Rennes: 1.43
Nice
33%
Draw
23%
Rennes
44%
Over 2.5: 52%
BTTS: 50%
Quality: high
Market Odds (1X2)
Vig 5.9%
1 — Nice
2.70▲
Implied 35%
Edge -2.0%
X
3.80
Implied 25%
Edge -1.8%
2 — Rennes
2.35▼
Implied 40%
Edge +3.8%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model rates that outcome higher than the bookmaker.
Team 1 Form
Nice · # = league position now
23 Oct2026
Brest#11 vs Nice#8
1-2W
18 Oct2026
Lyon#1 vs Nice#8
2-1L
11 Oct2026
Nice#8 vs Strasbourg#14
2-1W
20 Sept2026
Nice#8 vs Lille#4
2-1W
12 Sept2026
Auxerre#13 vs Nice#8
1-0L
05 Sept2026
Nice#8 vs le Mans#16
1-1D
30 Aug2026
Paris fc#3 vs Nice#8
3-0L
22 Aug2026
Nice#8 vs Lorient#7
0-0D
15 Aug2026
Hull#11 vs Nice#8
0-0D
08 Aug2026
Cagliari#7 vs Nice#8
0-0D
Team 2 Form
Rennes · # = league position now
22 Oct2026
Juventus#9 vs Rennes#6
2-2D
18 Oct2026
Paris fc#3 vs Rennes#6
4-3L
15 Oct2026
Rennes#6 vs Ofi Crete#5
2-1W
11 Oct2026
Rennes#6 vs Auxerre#13
4-1W
02 Oct2026
Laval#18 vs Rennes#6
1-0L
19 Sept2026
Lyon#1 vs Rennes#6
4-0L
16 Sept2026
Sturm Graz#4 vs Rennes#6
0-0D
11 Sept2026
Rennes#6 vs Marseille#10
1-0W
06 Sept2026
Angers#15 vs Rennes#6
1-2W
30 Aug2026
Rennes#6 vs le Mans#16
3-2W
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
08 Mar2026
Nice#8 vs Rennes#6
0-4•
26 Oct2025
Rennes#6 vs Nice#8
1-2•
10 May2025
Rennes#6 vs Nice#8
2-0•
03 Jan2025
Nice#8 vs Rennes#6
3-2•
13 Jan2024
Rennes#6 vs Nice#8
2-0•
05 Nov2023
Nice#8 vs Rennes#6
2-0•
06 May2023
Nice#8 vs Rennes#6
2-1•
02 Jan2023
Rennes#6 vs Nice#8
2-1•
02 Apr2022
Nice#8 vs Rennes#6
1-1•
12 Dec2021
Rennes#6 vs Nice#8
1-2•

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