Real Madrid vs Sevilla

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Real Madrid favourites at 69% (Sevilla 15%, draw 16%). That rests on expected goals of 2.45 to 1.01, 8 wins in Real Madrid's last 10 matches to 4 for Sevilla and 9 wins from the last 10 meetings to 0. It put over 2.5 goals at 59% and both teams scoring at 58%. Real Madrid won 4-1, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• They last met on 17 May 2026, when Real Madrid won 1-0.