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Football · LaLiga · Spain

Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano

Saturday, 12 September 2026

Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score
Real Madrid4-1Rayo Vallecano
1ST HALF
3-0
2ND HALF
1-1

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Real Madrid favourites at 79% (Rayo Vallecano 9%, draw 12%). That rests on expected goals of 2.78 to 0.79, 8 wins in Real Madrid's last 10 matches to 3 for Rayo Vallecano and 5 wins from the last 10 meetings to 1. It put over 2.5 goals at 68% and both teams scoring at 60%. Real Madrid won 4-1, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

  • They last met on 1 Feb 2026, when Real Madrid won 2-1.
Spain•LaLiga
W53d
L57d
W62d
W66d
W70d
W76d
W80d
W84d
D91d
W95d
8W · 1D · 1L
vs
W56d
L61d
D72d
L77d
L84d
W91d
L97d
L106d
L157d
W161d
3W · 1D · 6L
Saturday, 12 September 2026 at 22:00
Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score
Real Madrid4-1Rayo Vallecano
1ST HALF
3-0
2ND HALF
1-1
H2H: 5-4-1
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Real Madrid at homeRayo Vallecano away
58
4/52/8
1/50/8
0/56/8
3.201.25
1.002.25
5/56/8
5/53/8
3/51/8
4/58/8
1/56/8
1/50/8
0/52/8
5/57/8
4/56/8
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Real Madrid: 2.78
Expected Goals
Rayo Vallecano: 0.79
Real Madrid
79%
Draw
12%
Rayo Vallecano
9%
Over 2.5: 68%
BTTS: 60%
Quality: high
Team 1 Form
Real Madrid · # = league position now
08 Sept2026
Real Madrid#3 vs Inter#1
2-1W
04 Sept2026
Betis#4 vs Real Madrid#3
1-0L
30 Aug2026
Real Madrid#3 vs Malaga#20
4-0W
26 Aug2026
Real Madrid#3 vs Real Sociedad#5
4-1W
22 Aug2026
Espanyol#12 vs Real Madrid#3
1-2W
16 Aug2026
Schalke#16 vs Real Madrid#3
0-3W
12 Aug2026
Dep. a Coruna#11 vs Real Madrid#3
0-1W
08 Aug2026
Ferencvaros#4 vs Real Madrid#3
1-2W
01 Aug2026
Real Madrid#3 vs Fiorentina#18
2-2D
28 Jul2026
Real Madrid#3 vs Leganes#17
4-1W
Team 2 Form
Rayo Vallecano · # = league position now
05 Sept2026
Rayo Vallecano#17 vs Racing Santander#15
3-2W
31 Aug2026
Barcelona#1 vs Rayo Vallecano#17
5-2L
20 Aug2026
Rayo Vallecano#17 vs Alaves#7
1-1D
15 Aug2026
Sevilla#6 vs Rayo Vallecano#17
2-1L
08 Aug2026
Ipswich vs Rayo Vallecano#17
3-0L
01 Aug2026
Charleroi#4 vs Rayo Vallecano#17
2-3W
26 Jul2026
Feyenoord#1 vs Rayo Vallecano#17
2-1L
17 Jul2026
Hearts#3 vs Rayo Vallecano#17
2-1L
27 May2026
Crystal Palace#17 vs Rayo Vallecano#17
1-0L
23 May2026
Alaves#7 vs Rayo Vallecano#17
1-2W
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
01 Feb2026
Real Madrid#3 vs Rayo Vallecano#17
2-1•
09 Nov2025
Rayo Vallecano#17 vs Real Madrid#3
0-0•
09 Mar2025
Real Madrid#3 vs Rayo Vallecano#17
2-1•
14 Dec2024
Rayo Vallecano#17 vs Real Madrid#3
3-3•
18 Feb2024
Rayo Vallecano#17 vs Real Madrid#3
1-1•
05 Nov2023
Real Madrid#3 vs Rayo Vallecano#17
0-0•
24 May2023
Real Madrid#3 vs Rayo Vallecano#17
2-1•
07 Nov2022
Rayo Vallecano#17 vs Real Madrid#3
3-2•
26 Feb2022
Rayo Vallecano#17 vs Real Madrid#3
0-1•
06 Nov2021
Real Madrid#3 vs Rayo Vallecano#17
2-1•

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