Real Madrid vs Malaga

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Real Madrid favourites at 79% (Malaga 8%, draw 13%). That rests on expected goals of 2.64 to 0.72, 9 wins in Real Madrid's last 10 matches to 2 for Malaga and 8 wins from the last 10 meetings to 0. It put over 2.5 goals at 62% and both teams scoring at 58%. Real Madrid won 4-0, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• Real Madrid have won 5 matches in a row.
• They last met on 15 Apr 2018, when Real Madrid won 2-1.