PSG vs Barcelona

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Barcelona favourites at 54% (PSG 29%, draw 17%). That rests on expected goals of 2.73 to 2.02 and 10 wins in Barcelona's last 10 matches to 6 for PSG. It put over 2.5 goals at 85% and both teams scoring at 83%. PSG won 4-2, against the model's 54% for Barcelona.

Key facts before the match

• Barcelona have won 10 matches in a row.
• PSG have won 6 matches in a row.
• They last met on 1 Oct 2025, when PSG won 2-1.
• 8 of the last 10 meetings had three or more goals.