Plymouth vs Burton

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Plymouth favourites at 68% (Burton 16%, draw 16%). That rests on expected goals of 2.41 to 1.07, 6 wins in Plymouth's last 10 matches to 3 for Burton and 5 wins from the last 10 meetings to 1. It put over 2.5 goals at 67% and both teams scoring at 57%. Burton won 1-0, against the model's 68% for Plymouth.

Key facts before the match

• Plymouth have won 4 matches in a row.
• They last met on 4 Jan 2026, when Plymouth won 3-0.