Football · Conference League · Europe

Riga FC vs Kairat Almaty

Thursday, 15 October 2026

Riga FC vs Kairat Almaty in Conference League (Football) on Thursday, 15 October 2026. Model prediction: Riga FC 37% vs Kairat Almaty 41%, draw 22%. See the head-to-head record, recent form and odds. Predictions and stats update daily.

Europe•Conference League

Riga fc(0)

Rank 36 · 0 pts

Kairat Almaty(0)

Rank 29 · 0 pts

Thursday, 15 October 2026 at 19:45

H2H: 0-0-0

Riga fc — Last 10

W0d

D4d

D8d

W12d

L15d

W19d

D23d

D26d

W30d

D33d

4W · 5D · 1L

Played10

GF/GA19/14

Avg For1.90

Avg Against1.40

Scored ≥19/10

Scored ≥26/10

Conceded ≥18/10

Conceded ≥24/10

Clean Sheets2/10

Failed To Score1/10

Over 1.58/10

Over 2.56/10

BTTS8/10

Kairat Almaty — Last 10

L2d

W6d

W10d

W15d

L19d

L26d

W31d

L35d

L42d

W48d

5W · 0D · 5L

Played10

GF/GA13/13

Avg For1.30

Avg Against1.30

Scored ≥16/10

Scored ≥24/10

Conceded ≥16/10

Conceded ≥23/10

Clean Sheets4/10

Failed To Score4/10

Over 1.57/10

Over 2.56/10

BTTS2/10

Model Prediction

Expected Goals

Riga fc: 1.43

Expected Goals

Kairat Almaty: 1.53

Riga fc

37%

Draw

22%

Kairat Almaty

41%

Over 2.5: 58%

BTTS: 52%

Quality: high

Market Odds (1X2)

Vig 5.7%

1 — Riga FC

1.84▼

Implied 51%

Edge -14.4%

3.60▲

Implied 26%

Edge -4.3%

2 — Kairat Almaty

4.25▲

Implied 22%

Edge +18.7%

Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model rates that outcome higher than the bookmaker.

Open Flashscore

Team 1 Form

Riga fc

15 Sept

Super Nova vs Riga fc

0-1W

11 Sept

Riga fc vs Auda

2-2D

07 Sept

Riga fc vs Bfc Daugavpils

1-1D

03 Sept

Rfs vs Riga fc

2-3W

31 Aug

fk Liepaja vs Riga fc

3-2L

27 Aug

Riga fc vs Klaksvik

2-1W

23 Aug

Rfs vs Riga fc

3-3D

20 Aug

Klaksvik vs Riga fc

0-0D

16 Aug

Riga fc vs Metta

4-1W

13 Aug

Gyor vs Riga fc

1-1D

Team 2 Form

Kairat Almaty

13 Sept

Kairat Almaty vs Tobol

1-4L

09 Sept

Kairat Almaty vs Zhenis

3-0W

05 Sept

Kaspij Aktau vs Kairat Almaty

0-3W

31 Aug

Yelimay Semey vs Kairat Almaty

0-2W

27 Aug

Anderlecht vs Kairat Almaty

3-0L

20 Aug

Kairat Almaty vs Anderlecht

0-3L

15 Aug

Kairat Almaty vs Ulytau

3-1W

11 Aug

Kairat Almaty vs Levski Sofia

0-1L

04 Aug

Levski Sofia vs Kairat Almaty

1-0L

29 Jul

Kairat Almaty vs Omonia

1-0W

Head-to-Head

Last 10

No rows.

Full Match Object

{
  "league": "Conference League",
  "country": "Europe",
  "match": "Riga FC vs Kairat Almaty",
  "date": "2026-10-15",
  "time": "19:45",
  "team_1": {
    "name": "Riga FC",
    "last_10_matches": [
      {
        "date": "15.09.26",
        "home": "Super Nova",
        "away": "Riga FC",
        "score": "0-1"
      },
      {
        "date": "11.09.26",
        "home": "Riga FC",
        "away": "Auda",
        "score": "2-2"
      },
      {
        "date": "07.09.26",
        "home": "Riga FC",
        "away": "BFC Daugavpils",
        "score": "1-1"
      },
      {
        "date": "03.09.26",
        "home": "RFS",
        "away": "Riga FC",
        "score": "2-3"
      },
      {
        "date": "31.08.26",
        "home": "FK Liepaja",
        "away": "Riga FC",
        "score": "3-2"
      },
      {
        "date": "27.08.26",
        "home": "Riga FC",
        "away": "Klaksvik",
        "score": "2-1"
      },
      {
        "date": "23.08.26",
        "home": "RFS",
        "away": "Riga FC",
        "score": "3-3"
      },
      {
        "date": "20.08.26",
        "home": "Klaksvik",
        "away": "Riga FC",
        "score": "0-0"
      },
      {
        "date": "16.08.26",
        "home": "Riga FC",
        "away": "Metta",
        "score": "4-1"
      },
      {
        "date": "13.08.26",
        "home": "Gyor",
        "away": "Riga FC",
        "score": "1-1"
      }
    ],
    "standing": {
      "rank": 36,
      "points": 0,
      "goal_diff": 0,
      "played": 0,
      "wins": 0,
      "draws": 0,
      "losses": 0,
      "goals": "0:0",
      "form": [
        "?"
      ]
    },
    "metrics": {
      "overall_last10": {
        "played": 10,
        "scored_1plus": 9,
        "scored_2plus": 6,
        "conceded_1plus": 8,
        "conceded_2plus": 4,
        "clean_sheets": 2,
        "failed_to_score": 1,
        "over_1_5": 8,
        "over_2_5": 6,
        "btts": 8,
        "total_scored": 19,
        "total_conceded": 14,
        "avg_scored": 1.9,
        "avg_conceded": 1.4
      },
      "home_last10": {
        "played": 4,
        "scored_1plus": 4,
        "scored_2plus": 3,
        "conceded_1plus": 4,
        "conceded_2plus": 1,
        "clean_sheets": 0,
        "failed_to_score": 0,
        "over_1_5": 4,
        "over_2_5": 3,
        "btts": 4,
        "total_scored": 9,
        "total_conceded": 5,
        "avg_scored": 2.25,
        "avg_conceded": 1.25
      },
      "away_last10": {
        "played": 6,
        "scored_1plus": 5,
        "scored_2plus": 3,
        "conceded_1plus": 4,
        "conceded_2plus": 3,
        "clean_sheets": 2,
        "failed_to_score": 1,
        "over_1_5": 4,
        "over_2_5": 3,
        "btts": 4,
        "total_scored": 10,
        "total_conceded": 9,
        "avg_scored": 1.67,
        "avg_conceded": 1.5
      },
      "weighted_avg_scored": 1.867,
      "weighted_avg_conceded": 1.467,
      "last5_home_scored": [
        2,
        1
      ],
      "last5_home_conc": [
        2,
        1
      ],
      "last5_away_scored": [
        1,
        3,
        2
      ],
      "last5_away_conc": [
        0,
        2,
        3
      ]
    }
  },
  "team_2": {
    "name": "Kairat Almaty",
    "last_10_matches": [
      {
        "date": "13.09.26",
        "home": "Kairat Almaty",
        "away": "Tobol",
        "score": "1-4"
      },
      {
        "date": "09.09.26",
        "home": "Kairat Almaty",
        "away": "Zhenis",
        "score": "3-0"
      },
      {
        "date": "05.09.26",
        "home": "Kaspij Aktau",
        "away": "Kairat Almaty",
        "score": "0-3"
      },
      {
        "date": "31.08.26",
        "home": "Yelimay Semey",
        "away": "Kairat Almaty",
        "score": "0-2"
      },
      {
        "date": "27.08.26",
        "home": "Anderlecht",
        "away": "Kairat Almaty",
        "score": "3-0"
      },
      {
        "date": "20.08.26",
        "home": "Kairat Almaty",
        "away": "Anderlecht",
        "score": "0-3"
      },
      {
        "date": "15.08.26",
        "home": "Kairat Almaty",
        "away": "Ulytau",
        "score": "3-1"
      },
      {
        "date": "11.08.26",
        "home": "Kairat Almaty",
        "away": "Levski Sofia",
        "score": "0-1"
      },
      {
        "date": "04.08.26",
        "home": "Levski Sofia",
        "away": "Kairat Almaty",
        "score": "1-0"
      },
      {
        "date": "29.07.26",
        "home": "Kairat Almaty",
        "away": "Omonia",
        "score": "1-0"
      }
    ],
    "standing": {
      "rank": 29,
      "points": 0,
      "goal_diff": 0,
      "played": 0,
      "wins": 0,
      "draws": 0,
      "losses": 0,
      "goals": "0:0",
      "form": [
        "?"
      ]
    },
    "metrics": {
      "overall_last10": {
        "played": 10,
        "scored_1plus": 6,
        "scored_2plus": 4,
        "conceded_1plus": 6,
        "conceded_2plus": 3,
        "clean_sheets": 4,
        "failed_to_score": 4,
        "over_1_5": 7,
        "over_2_5": 6,
        "btts": 2,
        "total_scored": 13,
        "total_conceded": 13,
        "avg_scored": 1.3,
        "avg_conceded": 1.3
      },
      "home_last10": {
        "played": 6,
        "scored_1plus": 4,
        "scored_2plus": 2,
        "conceded_1plus": 4,
        "conceded_2plus": 2,
        "clean_sheets": 2,
        "failed_to_score": 2,
        "over_1_5": 4,
        "over_2_5": 4,
        "btts": 2,
        "total_scored": 8,
        "total_conceded": 9,
        "avg_scored": 1.33,
        "avg_conceded": 1.5
      },
      "away_last10": {
        "played": 4,
        "scored_1plus": 2,
        "scored_2plus": 2,
        "conceded_1plus": 2,
        "conceded_2plus": 1,
        "clean_sheets": 2,
        "failed_to_score": 2,
        "over_1_5": 3,
        "over_2_5": 2,
        "btts": 0,
        "total_scored": 5,
        "total_conceded": 4,
        "avg_scored": 1.25,
        "avg_conceded": 1
      },
      "weighted_avg_scored": 1.467,
      "weighted_avg_conceded": 1.333,
      "last5_home_scored": [
        1,
        3
      ],
      "last5_home_conc": [
        4,
        0
      ],
      "last5_away_scored": [
        3,
        2,
        0
      ],
      "last5_away_conc": [
        0,
        0,
        3
      ]
    }
  },
  "head_to_head": {
    "last_10_matches": []
  },
  "odds": {
    "match_winner": {
      "home": {
        "value": 1.84,
        "indicator": "down",
        "implied_pct": 51,
        "edge_pct": -14.4
      },
      "draw": {
        "value": 3.6,
        "indicator": "up",
        "implied_pct": 26,
        "edge_pct": -4.3
      },
      "away": {
        "value": 4.25,
        "indicator": "up",
        "implied_pct": 22,
        "edge_pct": 18.7
      },
      "vig_pct": 5.7
    },
    "scraped_at": "2026-09-15T21:11:14.350511+00:00"
  },
  "model": {
    "expected_goals": {
      "team_1": 1.43,
      "team_2": 1.53
    },
    "win_probability": {
      "team_1": 37,
      "draw": 22,
      "team_2": 41
    },
    "over_2_5_probability": 58,
    "btts_probability": 52,
    "prediction_quality": "high",
    "model_version": "v2-2026-04-football",
    "_model_debug": {
      "rank_adj": [
        -0.175,
        0.175
      ],
      "h2h_considered": 0,
      "over25_poisson": 57,
      "over25_empirical": 60,
      "btts_poisson": 60,
      "btts_empirical": 40
    }
  },
  "enrichment_status": "complete"
}

Team 1

{
  "name": "Riga FC",
  "last_10_matches": [
    {
      "date": "15.09.26",
      "home": "Super Nova",
      "away": "Riga FC",
      "score": "0-1"
    },
    {
      "date": "11.09.26",
      "home": "Riga FC",
      "away": "Auda",
      "score": "2-2"
    },
    {
      "date": "07.09.26",
      "home": "Riga FC",
      "away": "BFC Daugavpils",
      "score": "1-1"
    },
    {
      "date": "03.09.26",
      "home": "RFS",
      "away": "Riga FC",
      "score": "2-3"
    },
    {
      "date": "31.08.26",
      "home": "FK Liepaja",
      "away": "Riga FC",
      "score": "3-2"
    },
    {
      "date": "27.08.26",
      "home": "Riga FC",
      "away": "Klaksvik",
      "score": "2-1"
    },
    {
      "date": "23.08.26",
      "home": "RFS",
      "away": "Riga FC",
      "score": "3-3"
    },
    {
      "date": "20.08.26",
      "home": "Klaksvik",
      "away": "Riga FC",
      "score": "0-0"
    },
    {
      "date": "16.08.26",
      "home": "Riga FC",
      "away": "Metta",
      "score": "4-1"
    },
    {
      "date": "13.08.26",
      "home": "Gyor",
      "away": "Riga FC",
      "score": "1-1"
    }
  ],
  "standing": {
    "rank": 36,
    "points": 0,
    "goal_diff": 0,
    "played": 0,
    "wins": 0,
    "draws": 0,
    "losses": 0,
    "goals": "0:0",
    "form": [
      "?"
    ]
  },
  "metrics": {
    "overall_last10": {
      "played": 10,
      "scored_1plus": 9,
      "scored_2plus": 6,
      "conceded_1plus": 8,
      "conceded_2plus": 4,
      "clean_sheets": 2,
      "failed_to_score": 1,
      "over_1_5": 8,
      "over_2_5": 6,
      "btts": 8,
      "total_scored": 19,
      "total_conceded": 14,
      "avg_scored": 1.9,
      "avg_conceded": 1.4
    },
    "home_last10": {
      "played": 4,
      "scored_1plus": 4,
      "scored_2plus": 3,
      "conceded_1plus": 4,
      "conceded_2plus": 1,
      "clean_sheets": 0,
      "failed_to_score": 0,
      "over_1_5": 4,
      "over_2_5": 3,
      "btts": 4,
      "total_scored": 9,
      "total_conceded": 5,
      "avg_scored": 2.25,
      "avg_conceded": 1.25
    },
    "away_last10": {
      "played": 6,
      "scored_1plus": 5,
      "scored_2plus": 3,
      "conceded_1plus": 4,
      "conceded_2plus": 3,
      "clean_sheets": 2,
      "failed_to_score": 1,
      "over_1_5": 4,
      "over_2_5": 3,
      "btts": 4,
      "total_scored": 10,
      "total_conceded": 9,
      "avg_scored": 1.67,
      "avg_conceded": 1.5
    },
    "weighted_avg_scored": 1.867,
    "weighted_avg_conceded": 1.467,
    "last5_home_scored": [
      2,
      1
    ],
    "last5_home_conc": [
      2,
      1
    ],
    "last5_away_scored": [
      1,
      3,
      2
    ],
    "last5_away_conc": [
      0,
      2,
      3
    ]
  }
}

Team 2

{
  "name": "Kairat Almaty",
  "last_10_matches": [
    {
      "date": "13.09.26",
      "home": "Kairat Almaty",
      "away": "Tobol",
      "score": "1-4"
    },
    {
      "date": "09.09.26",
      "home": "Kairat Almaty",
      "away": "Zhenis",
      "score": "3-0"
    },
    {
      "date": "05.09.26",
      "home": "Kaspij Aktau",
      "away": "Kairat Almaty",
      "score": "0-3"
    },
    {
      "date": "31.08.26",
      "home": "Yelimay Semey",
      "away": "Kairat Almaty",
      "score": "0-2"
    },
    {
      "date": "27.08.26",
      "home": "Anderlecht",
      "away": "Kairat Almaty",
      "score": "3-0"
    },
    {
      "date": "20.08.26",
      "home": "Kairat Almaty",
      "away": "Anderlecht",
      "score": "0-3"
    },
    {
      "date": "15.08.26",
      "home": "Kairat Almaty",
      "away": "Ulytau",
      "score": "3-1"
    },
    {
      "date": "11.08.26",
      "home": "Kairat Almaty",
      "away": "Levski Sofia",
      "score": "0-1"
    },
    {
      "date": "04.08.26",
      "home": "Levski Sofia",
      "away": "Kairat Almaty",
      "score": "1-0"
    },
    {
      "date": "29.07.26",
      "home": "Kairat Almaty",
      "away": "Omonia",
      "score": "1-0"
    }
  ],
  "standing": {
    "rank": 29,
    "points": 0,
    "goal_diff": 0,
    "played": 0,
    "wins": 0,
    "draws": 0,
    "losses": 0,
    "goals": "0:0",
    "form": [
      "?"
    ]
  },
  "metrics": {
    "overall_last10": {
      "played": 10,
      "scored_1plus": 6,
      "scored_2plus": 4,
      "conceded_1plus": 6,
      "conceded_2plus": 3,
      "clean_sheets": 4,
      "failed_to_score": 4,
      "over_1_5": 7,
      "over_2_5": 6,
      "btts": 2,
      "total_scored": 13,
      "total_conceded": 13,
      "avg_scored": 1.3,
      "avg_conceded": 1.3
    },
    "home_last10": {
      "played": 6,
      "scored_1plus": 4,
      "scored_2plus": 2,
      "conceded_1plus": 4,
      "conceded_2plus": 2,
      "clean_sheets": 2,
      "failed_to_score": 2,
      "over_1_5": 4,
      "over_2_5": 4,
      "btts": 2,
      "total_scored": 8,
      "total_conceded": 9,
      "avg_scored": 1.33,
      "avg_conceded": 1.5
    },
    "away_last10": {
      "played": 4,
      "scored_1plus": 2,
      "scored_2plus": 2,
      "conceded_1plus": 2,
      "conceded_2plus": 1,
      "clean_sheets": 2,
      "failed_to_score": 2,
      "over_1_5": 3,
      "over_2_5": 2,
      "btts": 0,
      "total_scored": 5,
      "total_conceded": 4,
      "avg_scored": 1.25,
      "avg_conceded": 1
    },
    "weighted_avg_scored": 1.467,
    "weighted_avg_conceded": 1.333,
    "last5_home_scored": [
      1,
      3
    ],
    "last5_home_conc": [
      4,
      0
    ],
    "last5_away_scored": [
      3,
      2,
      0
    ],
    "last5_away_conc": [
      0,
      0,
      3
    ]
  }
}

Head-to-Head

{
  "last_10_matches": []
}

Model

{
  "expected_goals": {
    "team_1": 1.43,
    "team_2": 1.53
  },
  "win_probability": {
    "team_1": 37,
    "draw": 22,
    "team_2": 41
  },
  "over_2_5_probability": 58,
  "btts_probability": 52,
  "prediction_quality": "high",
  "model_version": "v2-2026-04-football",
  "_model_debug": {
    "rank_adj": [
      -0.175,
      0.175
    ],
    "h2h_considered": 0,
    "over25_poisson": 57,
    "over25_empirical": 60,
    "btts_poisson": 60,
    "btts_empirical": 40
  }
}

Odds

{
  "match_winner": {
    "home": {
      "value": 1.84,
      "indicator": "down",
      "implied_pct": 51,
      "edge_pct": -14.4
    },
    "draw": {
      "value": 3.6,
      "indicator": "up",
      "implied_pct": 26,
      "edge_pct": -4.3
    },
    "away": {
      "value": 4.25,
      "indicator": "up",
      "implied_pct": 22,
      "edge_pct": 18.7
    },
    "vig_pct": 5.7
  },
  "scraped_at": "2026-09-15T21:11:14.350511+00:00"
}

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