Football · Premier League · England
Liverpool vs Manchester City
Sunday, 11 October 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Liverpool vs Manchester City in Premier League (Football) on Sunday, 11 October 2026. Model prediction: Liverpool 26% vs Manchester City 52%, draw 22%. See the head-to-head record, recent form and odds. Predictions and stats update daily.
England•Premier League
Liverpool(3)Rank 6 · 6 pts
Manchester City(5)Rank 2 · 9 pts
Sunday, 11 October 2026 at 18:30
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
H2H: 3-2-5
Liverpool — Last 10
D2d
W5d
W10d
D16d
D22d
W29d
D29d
L36d
L43d
W46d
Played10
GF/GA15/12
Avg For1.50
Avg Against1.20
Scored ≥18/10
Scored ≥27/10
Conceded ≥15/10
Conceded ≥24/10
Clean Sheets5/10
Failed To Score2/10
Over 1.57/10
Over 2.55/10
BTTS5/10
Manchester City — Last 10
W1d
W6d
W9d
W17d
W22d
L29d
W36d
W40d
D44d
L113d
Played10
GF/GA18/10
Avg For1.80
Avg Against1.00
Scored ≥19/10
Scored ≥25/10
Conceded ≥17/10
Conceded ≥22/10
Clean Sheets3/10
Failed To Score1/10
Over 1.58/10
Over 2.56/10
BTTS6/10
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Liverpool: 1.08
Expected Goals
Manchester City: 1.67
Liverpool
26%
Draw
22%
Manchester City
52%
Over 2.5: 52%
BTTS: 50%
Quality: high
Market Odds (1X2)
Vig 4.9%
1 — Liverpool
3.10▲
Implied 31%
Edge -4.8%
X
3.80▼
Implied 25%
Edge -3.1%
2 — Manchester City
2.16▼
Implied 44%
Edge +7.9%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model rates that outcome higher than the bookmaker.
Team 1 Form
Liverpool
12 Sept
Liverpool vs Fulham
0-0D
09 Sept
Liverpool vs Atl. Madrid
2-1W
04 Sept
Ipswich vs Liverpool
0-2W
29 Aug
Liverpool vs Nottingham
2-2D
23 Aug
Newcastle vs Liverpool
2-2D
16 Aug
Liverpool vs Como
2-0W
16 Aug
Liverpool vs Como
0-0D
09 Aug
Liverpool vs Monaco
2-3L
02 Aug
Liverpool vs Leeds
2-4L
30 Jul
Liverpool vs Wrexham
1-0W
Team 2 Form
Manchester City
13 Sept
Manchester Utd vs Manchester City
0-1W
08 Sept
fc Porto vs Manchester City
0-2W
05 Sept
Manchester City vs Coventry
1-0W
28 Aug
Crystal Palace vs Manchester City
1-4W
23 Aug
Manchester City vs Bournemouth
2-1W
16 Aug
Arsenal vs Manchester City
3-0L
09 Aug
Manchester City vs Atl. Madrid
3-1W
05 Aug
K-league Stars vs Manchester City
1-3W
01 Aug
Manchester City vs Inter
1-1D
24 May
Manchester City vs Aston Villa
1-2L
Head-to-Head
Last 10
04 Apr
Manchester City vs Liverpool
4-0•
08 Feb
Liverpool vs Manchester City
1-2•
09 Nov
Manchester City vs Liverpool
3-0•
23 Feb
Manchester City vs Liverpool
0-2•
01 Dec
Liverpool vs Manchester City
2-0•
10 Mar
Liverpool vs Manchester City
1-1•
25 Nov
Manchester City vs Liverpool
1-1•
01 Apr
Manchester City vs Liverpool
4-1•
22 Dec
Manchester City vs Liverpool
3-2•
16 Oct
Liverpool vs Manchester City
1-0•
Full Match Object
{
"league": "Premier League",
"country": "England",
"match": "Liverpool vs Manchester City",
"date": "2026-10-11",
"time": "18:30",
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{
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{
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"away": "Atl. Madrid",
"score": "2-1"
},
{
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{
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"home": "Liverpool",
"away": "Nottingham",
"score": "2-2"
},
{
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"home": "Newcastle",
"away": "Liverpool",
"score": "2-2"
},
{
"date": "16.08.26",
"home": "Liverpool",
"away": "Como",
"score": "2-0"
},
{
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"home": "Liverpool",
"away": "Como",
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},
{
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"home": "Liverpool",
"away": "Monaco",
"score": "2-3"
},
{
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"home": "Liverpool",
"away": "Leeds",
"score": "2-4"
},
{
"date": "30.07.26",
"home": "Liverpool",
"away": "Wrexham",
"score": "1-0"
}
],
"standing": {
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"points": 6,
"goal_diff": 2,
"played": 4,
"wins": 1,
"draws": 3,
"losses": 0,
"goals": "6:4",
"form": [
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]
},
"metrics": {
"overall_last10": {
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"scored_1plus": 8,
"scored_2plus": 7,
"conceded_1plus": 5,
"conceded_2plus": 4,
"clean_sheets": 5,
"failed_to_score": 2,
"over_1_5": 7,
"over_2_5": 5,
"btts": 5,
"total_scored": 15,
"total_conceded": 12,
"avg_scored": 1.5,
"avg_conceded": 1.2
},
"home_last10": {
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"scored_1plus": 6,
"scored_2plus": 5,
"conceded_1plus": 4,
"conceded_2plus": 3,
"clean_sheets": 4,
"failed_to_score": 2,
"over_1_5": 5,
"over_2_5": 4,
"btts": 4,
"total_scored": 11,
"total_conceded": 10,
"avg_scored": 1.38,
"avg_conceded": 1.25
},
"away_last10": {
"played": 2,
"scored_1plus": 2,
"scored_2plus": 2,
"conceded_1plus": 1,
"conceded_2plus": 1,
"clean_sheets": 1,
"failed_to_score": 0,
"over_1_5": 2,
"over_2_5": 1,
"btts": 1,
"total_scored": 4,
"total_conceded": 2,
"avg_scored": 2,
"avg_conceded": 1
},
"weighted_avg_scored": 1.533,
"weighted_avg_conceded": 1.133,
"last5_home_scored": [
0,
2,
2
],
"last5_home_conc": [
0,
1,
2
],
"last5_away_scored": [
2,
2
],
"last5_away_conc": [
0,
2
]
}
},
"team_2": {
"name": "Manchester City",
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "13.09.26",
"home": "Manchester Utd",
"away": "Manchester City",
"score": "0-1"
},
{
"date": "08.09.26",
"home": "FC Porto",
"away": "Manchester City",
"score": "0-2"
},
{
"date": "05.09.26",
"home": "Manchester City",
"away": "Coventry",
"score": "1-0"
},
{
"date": "28.08.26",
"home": "Crystal Palace",
"away": "Manchester City",
"score": "1-4"
},
{
"date": "23.08.26",
"home": "Manchester City",
"away": "Bournemouth",
"score": "2-1"
},
{
"date": "16.08.26",
"home": "Arsenal",
"away": "Manchester City",
"score": "3-0"
},
{
"date": "09.08.26",
"home": "Manchester City",
"away": "Atl. Madrid",
"score": "3-1"
},
{
"date": "05.08.26",
"home": "K-League Stars",
"away": "Manchester City",
"score": "1-3"
},
{
"date": "01.08.26",
"home": "Manchester City",
"away": "Inter",
"score": "1-1"
},
{
"date": "24.05.26",
"home": "Manchester City",
"away": "Aston Villa",
"score": "1-2"
}
],
"standing": {
"rank": 2,
"points": 9,
"goal_diff": 5,
"played": 3,
"wins": 3,
"draws": 0,
"losses": 0,
"goals": "7:2",
"form": [
"?",
"W",
"W",
"W"
]
},
"metrics": {
"overall_last10": {
"played": 10,
"scored_1plus": 9,
"scored_2plus": 5,
"conceded_1plus": 7,
"conceded_2plus": 2,
"clean_sheets": 3,
"failed_to_score": 1,
"over_1_5": 8,
"over_2_5": 6,
"btts": 6,
"total_scored": 18,
"total_conceded": 10,
"avg_scored": 1.8,
"avg_conceded": 1
},
"home_last10": {
"played": 5,
"scored_1plus": 5,
"scored_2plus": 2,
"conceded_1plus": 4,
"conceded_2plus": 1,
"clean_sheets": 1,
"failed_to_score": 0,
"over_1_5": 4,
"over_2_5": 3,
"btts": 4,
"total_scored": 8,
"total_conceded": 5,
"avg_scored": 1.6,
"avg_conceded": 1
},
"away_last10": {
"played": 5,
"scored_1plus": 4,
"scored_2plus": 3,
"conceded_1plus": 3,
"conceded_2plus": 1,
"clean_sheets": 2,
"failed_to_score": 1,
"over_1_5": 4,
"over_2_5": 3,
"btts": 2,
"total_scored": 10,
"total_conceded": 5,
"avg_scored": 2,
"avg_conceded": 1
},
"weighted_avg_scored": 1.867,
"weighted_avg_conceded": 0.8,
"last5_home_scored": [
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2
],
"last5_home_conc": [
0,
1
],
"last5_away_scored": [
1,
2,
4
],
"last5_away_conc": [
0,
0,
1
]
}
},
"head_to_head": {
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "04.04.26",
"home": "Manchester City",
"away": "Liverpool",
"score": "4-0"
},
{
"date": "08.02.26",
"home": "Liverpool",
"away": "Manchester City",
"score": "1-2"
},
{
"date": "09.11.25",
"home": "Manchester City",
"away": "Liverpool",
"score": "3-0"
},
{
"date": "23.02.25",
"home": "Manchester City",
"away": "Liverpool",
"score": "0-2"
},
{
"date": "01.12.24",
"home": "Liverpool",
"away": "Manchester City",
"score": "2-0"
},
{
"date": "10.03.24",
"home": "Liverpool",
"away": "Manchester City",
"score": "1-1"
},
{
"date": "25.11.23",
"home": "Manchester City",
"away": "Liverpool",
"score": "1-1"
},
{
"date": "01.04.23",
"home": "Manchester City",
"away": "Liverpool",
"score": "4-1"
},
{
"date": "22.12.22",
"home": "Manchester City",
"away": "Liverpool",
"score": "3-2"
},
{
"date": "16.10.22",
"home": "Liverpool",
"away": "Manchester City",
"score": "1-0"
}
]
},
"odds": {
"match_winner": {
"home": {
"value": 3.1,
"indicator": "up",
"implied_pct": 31,
"edge_pct": -4.8
},
"draw": {
"value": 3.8,
"indicator": "down",
"implied_pct": 25,
"edge_pct": -3.1
},
"away": {
"value": 2.16,
"indicator": "down",
"implied_pct": 44,
"edge_pct": 7.9
},
"vig_pct": 4.9
},
"scraped_at": "2026-09-13T17:51:56.051968+00:00"
},
"model": {
"expected_goals": {
"team_1": 1.08,
"team_2": 1.67
},
"win_probability": {
"team_1": 26,
"draw": 22,
"team_2": 52
},
"over_2_5_probability": 52,
"btts_probability": 50,
"prediction_quality": "high",
"model_version": "v2-2026-04-football",
"_model_debug": {
"rank_adj": [
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0.1
],
"h2h_considered": 6,
"over25_poisson": 52,
"over25_empirical": 55,
"btts_poisson": 54,
"btts_empirical": 55
}
},
"enrichment_status": "complete"
}Team 1
{
"name": "Liverpool",
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "12.09.26",
"home": "Liverpool",
"away": "Fulham",
"score": "0-0"
},
{
"date": "09.09.26",
"home": "Liverpool",
"away": "Atl. Madrid",
"score": "2-1"
},
{
"date": "04.09.26",
"home": "Ipswich",
"away": "Liverpool",
"score": "0-2"
},
{
"date": "29.08.26",
"home": "Liverpool",
"away": "Nottingham",
"score": "2-2"
},
{
"date": "23.08.26",
"home": "Newcastle",
"away": "Liverpool",
"score": "2-2"
},
{
"date": "16.08.26",
"home": "Liverpool",
"away": "Como",
"score": "2-0"
},
{
"date": "16.08.26",
"home": "Liverpool",
"away": "Como",
"score": "0-0"
},
{
"date": "09.08.26",
"home": "Liverpool",
"away": "Monaco",
"score": "2-3"
},
{
"date": "02.08.26",
"home": "Liverpool",
"away": "Leeds",
"score": "2-4"
},
{
"date": "30.07.26",
"home": "Liverpool",
"away": "Wrexham",
"score": "1-0"
}
],
"standing": {
"rank": 6,
"points": 6,
"goal_diff": 2,
"played": 4,
"wins": 1,
"draws": 3,
"losses": 0,
"goals": "6:4",
"form": [
"?",
"D",
"W",
"D",
"D"
]
},
"metrics": {
"overall_last10": {
"played": 10,
"scored_1plus": 8,
"scored_2plus": 7,
"conceded_1plus": 5,
"conceded_2plus": 4,
"clean_sheets": 5,
"failed_to_score": 2,
"over_1_5": 7,
"over_2_5": 5,
"btts": 5,
"total_scored": 15,
"total_conceded": 12,
"avg_scored": 1.5,
"avg_conceded": 1.2
},
"home_last10": {
"played": 8,
"scored_1plus": 6,
"scored_2plus": 5,
"conceded_1plus": 4,
"conceded_2plus": 3,
"clean_sheets": 4,
"failed_to_score": 2,
"over_1_5": 5,
"over_2_5": 4,
"btts": 4,
"total_scored": 11,
"total_conceded": 10,
"avg_scored": 1.38,
"avg_conceded": 1.25
},
"away_last10": {
"played": 2,
"scored_1plus": 2,
"scored_2plus": 2,
"conceded_1plus": 1,
"conceded_2plus": 1,
"clean_sheets": 1,
"failed_to_score": 0,
"over_1_5": 2,
"over_2_5": 1,
"btts": 1,
"total_scored": 4,
"total_conceded": 2,
"avg_scored": 2,
"avg_conceded": 1
},
"weighted_avg_scored": 1.533,
"weighted_avg_conceded": 1.133,
"last5_home_scored": [
0,
2,
2
],
"last5_home_conc": [
0,
1,
2
],
"last5_away_scored": [
2,
2
],
"last5_away_conc": [
0,
2
]
}
}Team 2
{
"name": "Manchester City",
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "13.09.26",
"home": "Manchester Utd",
"away": "Manchester City",
"score": "0-1"
},
{
"date": "08.09.26",
"home": "FC Porto",
"away": "Manchester City",
"score": "0-2"
},
{
"date": "05.09.26",
"home": "Manchester City",
"away": "Coventry",
"score": "1-0"
},
{
"date": "28.08.26",
"home": "Crystal Palace",
"away": "Manchester City",
"score": "1-4"
},
{
"date": "23.08.26",
"home": "Manchester City",
"away": "Bournemouth",
"score": "2-1"
},
{
"date": "16.08.26",
"home": "Arsenal",
"away": "Manchester City",
"score": "3-0"
},
{
"date": "09.08.26",
"home": "Manchester City",
"away": "Atl. Madrid",
"score": "3-1"
},
{
"date": "05.08.26",
"home": "K-League Stars",
"away": "Manchester City",
"score": "1-3"
},
{
"date": "01.08.26",
"home": "Manchester City",
"away": "Inter",
"score": "1-1"
},
{
"date": "24.05.26",
"home": "Manchester City",
"away": "Aston Villa",
"score": "1-2"
}
],
"standing": {
"rank": 2,
"points": 9,
"goal_diff": 5,
"played": 3,
"wins": 3,
"draws": 0,
"losses": 0,
"goals": "7:2",
"form": [
"?",
"W",
"W",
"W"
]
},
"metrics": {
"overall_last10": {
"played": 10,
"scored_1plus": 9,
"scored_2plus": 5,
"conceded_1plus": 7,
"conceded_2plus": 2,
"clean_sheets": 3,
"failed_to_score": 1,
"over_1_5": 8,
"over_2_5": 6,
"btts": 6,
"total_scored": 18,
"total_conceded": 10,
"avg_scored": 1.8,
"avg_conceded": 1
},
"home_last10": {
"played": 5,
"scored_1plus": 5,
"scored_2plus": 2,
"conceded_1plus": 4,
"conceded_2plus": 1,
"clean_sheets": 1,
"failed_to_score": 0,
"over_1_5": 4,
"over_2_5": 3,
"btts": 4,
"total_scored": 8,
"total_conceded": 5,
"avg_scored": 1.6,
"avg_conceded": 1
},
"away_last10": {
"played": 5,
"scored_1plus": 4,
"scored_2plus": 3,
"conceded_1plus": 3,
"conceded_2plus": 1,
"clean_sheets": 2,
"failed_to_score": 1,
"over_1_5": 4,
"over_2_5": 3,
"btts": 2,
"total_scored": 10,
"total_conceded": 5,
"avg_scored": 2,
"avg_conceded": 1
},
"weighted_avg_scored": 1.867,
"weighted_avg_conceded": 0.8,
"last5_home_scored": [
1,
2
],
"last5_home_conc": [
0,
1
],
"last5_away_scored": [
1,
2,
4
],
"last5_away_conc": [
0,
0,
1
]
}
}Head-to-Head
{
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "04.04.26",
"home": "Manchester City",
"away": "Liverpool",
"score": "4-0"
},
{
"date": "08.02.26",
"home": "Liverpool",
"away": "Manchester City",
"score": "1-2"
},
{
"date": "09.11.25",
"home": "Manchester City",
"away": "Liverpool",
"score": "3-0"
},
{
"date": "23.02.25",
"home": "Manchester City",
"away": "Liverpool",
"score": "0-2"
},
{
"date": "01.12.24",
"home": "Liverpool",
"away": "Manchester City",
"score": "2-0"
},
{
"date": "10.03.24",
"home": "Liverpool",
"away": "Manchester City",
"score": "1-1"
},
{
"date": "25.11.23",
"home": "Manchester City",
"away": "Liverpool",
"score": "1-1"
},
{
"date": "01.04.23",
"home": "Manchester City",
"away": "Liverpool",
"score": "4-1"
},
{
"date": "22.12.22",
"home": "Manchester City",
"away": "Liverpool",
"score": "3-2"
},
{
"date": "16.10.22",
"home": "Liverpool",
"away": "Manchester City",
"score": "1-0"
}
]
}Model
{
"expected_goals": {
"team_1": 1.08,
"team_2": 1.67
},
"win_probability": {
"team_1": 26,
"draw": 22,
"team_2": 52
},
"over_2_5_probability": 52,
"btts_probability": 50,
"prediction_quality": "high",
"model_version": "v2-2026-04-football",
"_model_debug": {
"rank_adj": [
-0.1,
0.1
],
"h2h_considered": 6,
"over25_poisson": 52,
"over25_empirical": 55,
"btts_poisson": 54,
"btts_empirical": 55
}
}Odds
{
"match_winner": {
"home": {
"value": 3.1,
"indicator": "up",
"implied_pct": 31,
"edge_pct": -4.8
},
"draw": {
"value": 3.8,
"indicator": "down",
"implied_pct": 25,
"edge_pct": -3.1
},
"away": {
"value": 2.16,
"indicator": "down",
"implied_pct": 44,
"edge_pct": 7.9
},
"vig_pct": 4.9
},
"scraped_at": "2026-09-13T17:51:56.051968+00:00"
}Prediction alerts
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