Omonia vs Celta Vigo

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Celta Vigo favourites at 58% (Omonia 16%, draw 26%). That rests on expected goals of 1.33 to 0.52. Omonia come in with the better recent form (4 wins from 10 to 2), which keeps it from being more one-sided. It put over 2.5 goals at 27% and both teams scoring at 35%. Omonia won 1-0, against the model's 58% for Celta Vigo.

Key facts before the match

• Celta Vigo have gone 7 matches without a win.