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Football · LaLiga · Spain

Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo

Saturday, 31 October 2026

Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.

Match preview

The model makes Celta Vigo favourites at 51% (Rayo Vallecano 26%, draw 23%). That rests on expected goals of 1.57 to 1.01 and Celta Vigo sitting 8th in the table to Rayo Vallecano's 14th. Bookmakers give Celta Vigo about 31% once their margin is removed, so the model is more confident than the market. It puts over 2.5 goals at 50% and both teams scoring at 54%.

Key facts

  • Celta Vigo failed to score in 3 of their last 5 away games.
  • They last met on 18 Jan 2026, when Celta Vigo won 3-0.
Spain•LaLiga
Rank 14 · 9 pts
L0d
D5d
D35d
W39d
L42d
W49d
L54d
D65d
L70d
L77d
2W · 3D · 5L
vs
Rank 8 · 11 pts
W2d
W6d
L9d
D13d
W35d
L38d
D41d
D47d
D51d
L55d
3W · 4D · 3L
Saturday, 31 October 2026 at 18:15
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
H2H: 2-5-3
Last 10 matches
1010
12/2312/9
1.201.20
2.300.90
8/106/10
3/103/10
10/107/10
6/102/10
0/103/10
2/104/10
10/107/10
7/104/10
8/105/10
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Rayo Vallecano at homeCelta Vigo away
45
2/41/5
1/43/5
1/41/5
1.500.60
1.750.60
3/42/5
2/41/5
1/40/5
4/43/5
2/40/5
0/42/5
1/43/5
3/41/5
3/42/5
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Rayo Vallecano: 1.01
Expected Goals
Celta Vigo: 1.57
Rayo Vallecano
26%
Draw
23%
Celta Vigo
51%
Over 2.5: 50%
BTTS: 54%
Quality: high
Market Odds (1X2)
Vig 5.1%
1 — Rayo Vallecano
2.30▲
Implied 41%
Edge -15.3%
X
3.40
Implied 28%
Edge -5.0%
2 — Celta Vigo
3.10▼
Implied 31%
Edge +20.3%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model rates that outcome higher than the bookmaker.
Team 1 Form
Rayo Vallecano · # = league position now
24 Oct2026
Rayo Vallecano#14 vs Elche#18
0-3L
19 Oct2026
Getafe#15 vs Rayo Vallecano#14
1-1D
19 Sept2026
Osasuna#10 vs Rayo Vallecano#14
1-1D
15 Sept2026
Rayo Vallecano#14 vs Espanyol#16
2-1W
12 Sept2026
Real Madrid#3 vs Rayo Vallecano#14
4-1L
05 Sept2026
Rayo Vallecano#14 vs Racing Santander#17
3-2W
31 Aug2026
Barcelona#1 vs Rayo Vallecano#14
5-2L
20 Aug2026
Rayo Vallecano#14 vs Alaves#7
1-1D
15 Aug2026
Sevilla#6 vs Rayo Vallecano#14
2-1L
08 Aug2026
Ipswich vs Rayo Vallecano#14
3-0L
Team 2 Form
Celta Vigo · # = league position now
22 Oct2026
Celtic#1 vs Celta Vigo#8
1-2W
18 Oct2026
Celta Vigo#8 vs Alaves#7
2-1W
15 Oct2026
Celta Vigo#8 vs Juventus#9
1-2L
11 Oct2026
Elche#18 vs Celta Vigo#8
0-0D
19 Sept2026
Celta Vigo#8 vs Racing Santander#17
5-0W
16 Sept2026
Omonia#3 vs Celta Vigo#8
1-0L
13 Sept2026
Celta Vigo#8 vs Malaga#20
1-1D
07 Sept2026
Getafe#15 vs Celta Vigo#8
1-1D
03 Sept2026
Real Sociedad#5 vs Celta Vigo#8
0-0D
30 Aug2026
Celta Vigo#8 vs Ath Bilbao#13
0-2L
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
18 Jan2026
Celta Vigo#8 vs Rayo Vallecano#14
3-0•
21 Sept2025
Rayo Vallecano#14 vs Celta Vigo#8
1-1•
18 May2025
Celta Vigo#8 vs Rayo Vallecano#14
1-2•
10 Jan2025
Rayo Vallecano#14 vs Celta Vigo#8
2-1•
31 Mar2024
Celta Vigo#8 vs Rayo Vallecano#14
0-0•
11 Dec2023
Rayo Vallecano#14 vs Celta Vigo#8
0-0•
11 Mar2023
Celta Vigo#8 vs Rayo Vallecano#14
3-0•
10 Nov2022
Rayo Vallecano#14 vs Celta Vigo#8
0-0•
05 Feb2022
Celta Vigo#8 vs Rayo Vallecano#14
2-0•
01 Nov2021
Rayo Vallecano#14 vs Celta Vigo#8
0-0•

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